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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Sp Lisbon

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Belenenses

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%

26 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 0

7 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 2. · Belenenses 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Gil Vicente	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Vizela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Arouca	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Famalicao	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Moreirense	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.