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2. Bundesliga

Hansa Rostock

T S U

1–3

Full-time

Dresden

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock Dresden

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

14 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 9

8 Corners 3

8 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hansa Rostock 10. · Dresden 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Paderborn	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Karlsruhe	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Dresden	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	St Pauli	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Heidenheim	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Hansa Rostock	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Hannover	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	+0	3
15	Erzgebirge Aue	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	Sandhausen	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Holstein Kiel	4	0	1	3	-9	1
18	Ingolstadt	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Dresden	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Hannover	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Heidenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Hamburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Sandhausen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Ingolstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Hansa Rostock	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Dresden	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Holstein Kiel	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Ingolstadt	2	0	0	2	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.