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Premier League
Referee: M Atkinson
0–0
Full-time
Brentford
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
7 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 19. · Brentford 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Man United 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 West Ham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Everton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Brentford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Brighton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Aston Villa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Man City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Wolves 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Newcastle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Arsenal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Burnley 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Norwich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Crystal Palace 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Leeds 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Brentford
Joachim Andersen 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Christian Nørgaard
Christian Benteke 🟨
59′
J. Ayew 🔁
↦ J. Schlupp
68′
70′
🔁 S. Ghoddos
↦ F. Onyeka
Joel Ward 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 Y. Wissa
↦ B. Mbeumo
87′
🔁 M. Bidstrup
↦ V. Janelt
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-3-3
13 Guaita G
2 J. Ward D
15 J. Schlupp F
16 J. Andersen D
6 M. Guehi D
3 T. Mitchell D
18 J. McArthur M
8 C. Kouyaté M
23 C. Gallagher M
20 C. Benteke F
11 W. Zaha F
Bench (8)
9 J. Ayew
1 J. Butland
49 J. Rak-Sakyi
14 J. Mateta
5 J. Tomkins
34 M. Kelly
19 R. Matthews
44 J. Riedewald

Coach: P. Vieira

Brentford

3-5-2
1 David Raya G
18 P. Jansson D
20 K. Ajer D
3 R. Henry M
5 E. Pinnock D
6 C. Nørgaard M
7 Sergi Canós M
27 V. Janelt M
15 F. Onyeka M
17 I. Toney F
19 B. Mbeumo F
Bench (9)
14 S. Ghoddos
11 Y. Wissa
28 M. Bidstrup
21 H. Dervişoğlu
9 M. Forss
4 C. Goode
29 M. Sørensen
30 M. Rasmussen
40 Álvaro Fernández

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U ✓
3,18
B
2,90
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.