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Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Monaco
S S U U T
0–2
Full-time
Lens
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
9 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Monaco 14. · Lens 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Angers 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Clermont 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Nice 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Nantes 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Marseille 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Lorient 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Reims 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 St Etienne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Lens 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Rennes 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Brest 3 0 2 1 -2 2
13 Montpellier 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Monaco 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Metz 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Bordeaux 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Lyon 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Lille 2 0 1 1 -4 1
19 Troyes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Strasbourg 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Lens
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 P. Frankowski
↦ D. Machado
51′
I. Ganago 0–1
J. Clauss
60′
🟥 Cheick Doucouré
61′
🟨 Jean-Louis Leca
Gelson Martins 🔁
↦ A. Tchouaméni
63′
M. Boadu 🔁
↦ K. Diatta
63′
K. Volland 🔁
↦ W. Ben Yedder
63′
65′
🔁 Y. Cahuzac
↦ I. Ganago
75′
🔁 M. Haïdara
↦ G. Kakuta
75′
🔁 S. Banza
↦ F. Sotoca
Fàbregas 🔁
↦ S. Diop
76′
Strahinja Pavlović 🟨
83′
D. Sidibé 🔁
↦ R. Aguilar
83′
Aleksandr Golovin 🟥
86′
93′
🔁 I. Boura
↦ M. Haïdara
94′
S. Banza 0–2
P. Frankowski
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Monaco

4-4-1-1
16 A. Nübel G
26 R. Aguilar D
6 A. Disasi D
12 Caio Henrique D
21 S. Pavlović D
17 A. Golovin M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
11 Jean Lucas M
37 S. Diop F
10 W. Ben Yedder F
27 K. Diatta M
Bench (9)
7 Gelson Martins
9 M. Boadu
31 K. Volland
4 Fàbregas
19 D. Sidibé
1 R. Majecki
5 B. Badiashile
36 E. Matazo
14 I. Jakobs

Coach: N. Kovač

Lens

3-4-1-2
16 J. Leca G
11 J. Clauss M
24 J. Gradit D
3 D. Machado M
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
10 G. Kakuta F
8 S. Fofana M
28 C. Doucouré M
7 F. Sotoca F
9 I. Ganago F
Bench (9)
29 P. Frankowski
18 Y. Cahuzac
21 M. Haïdara
23 S. Banza
19 I. Boura
25 C. Jean
1 W. Fariñez
20 David Costa
5 C. Wooh

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U
3,71
B ✓
4,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.