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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Brighton

T U S T S

2–0

Full-time

Watford

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Watford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 6

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 10. · Watford 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Everton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Man City	2	1	0	1	+4	3
5	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Aston Villa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Leeds	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Norwich	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Everton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Watford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Man City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Arsenal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-4	0
15	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.