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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Montpellier
T U S T S
2–2
Full-time
Le Havre
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,5
1,7
Scored
2,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,62 xG 1,10
58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
5 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Montpellier Le Havre
5′
⚽ G. Lloris 0–1
Y. Salmier
Half-time 0–1
Christopher Jullien 🟨
48′
55′
🟨 Arouna Sangante
1–1 A. Adams ⚽
T. Savanier
58′
2–1 A. Adams ⚽
K. Kouyaté
60′
61′
🔁 A. Joujou
↦ N. Alioui
61′
🔁 A. Logbo
↦ I. Soumaré
65′
🟨 Oussama Targhalline
A. Nordin 🔁
↦ W. Khazri
69′
70′
🔁 S. Grandsir
↦ R. Ndiaye
70′
🔁 Y. Kechta
↦ L. Négo
K. Fayad 🔁
↦ T. Savanier
71′
E. Wahi 🔁
↦ A. Adams
77′
L. Leroy 🔁
↦ J. Ferri
77′
L. Mincarelli Davin 🔁
↦ I. Sylla
86′
86′
🔁 A. Touré
↦ D. Kuzyaev
90′
⚽ S. Grandsir 2–2
J. Casimir
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
40 B. Lecomte G
77 F. Sacko D
6 C. Jullien D
4 K. Kouyaté D
3 I. Sylla D
13 J. Chotard M
12 J. Ferri M
9 Mousa Al Tamari M
11 T. Savanier M
10 W. Khazri M
8 A. Adams F
Bench (9)
7 A. Nordin
22 K. Fayad
21 E. Wahi
18 L. Leroy
35 L. Mincarelli Davin
1 B. Dizdarević
75 M. Sakho
27 B. Omeragić
19 S. Delaye

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Le Havre

5-3-2
30 A. Desmas G
7 L. Négo D
22 Y. Salmier D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
23 J. Casimir D
19 R. Ndiaye M
5 O. Targhalline M
14 D. Kuzyaev M
45 I. Soumaré F
10 N. Alioui F
Bench (9)
21 A. Joujou
20 A. Logbo
29 S. Grandsir
8 Y. Kechta
94 A. Touré
1 M. Gorgelin
18 N. Mbemba
25 A. Confais
6 É. Youté

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,95
🔒
U ✓
3,49
🔒
B
4,02
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,10
🔒
U2,5
1,74
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.