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Coppa Italia

Referee: A Santoro

Monza

U S S T T

1–2

Full-time

Reggiana

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monza Reggiana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 7

9 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 5

5 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Catanzaro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Cesena	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggiana	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Verona	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	FeralpiSalo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Salernitana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Catanzaro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Cesena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Empoli	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Bari	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Parma	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Virtus Entella	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Palermo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Vicenza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Como	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Foggia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Ascoli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Cesena	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Pescara	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.