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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J Haugen
Kristiansund
S U S T U
3–1
Full-time
Jerv
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Jerv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 15/17 matches
Win Ø 41%
40%
41%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
60%
71%
Both score Ø 78%
67%
88%
Average goals
3,3
3,4
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kristiansund 7. · Jerv 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredrikstad 17 9 8 0 +13 35
2 Kongsvinger 17 11 1 5 +10 34
3 KFUM Oslo 17 9 4 4 +9 31
4 Sogndal 16 9 3 4 +8 30
5 Start 17 7 6 4 +11 27
6 Jerv 17 7 4 6 -2 25
7 Kristiansund 15 6 5 4 +5 23
8 Moss 17 6 5 6 -3 23
9 Mjondalen 17 6 3 8 -2 21
10 Ranheim 17 6 2 9 -16 20
11 Raufoss 17 5 4 8 -2 19
12 Bryne 16 5 4 7 -2 19
13 Sandnes ULF 16 4 5 7 +3 17
14 Asane 17 2 8 7 -5 14
15 hodd 16 3 5 8 -8 14
16 Skeid 17 2 5 10 -19 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Jerv
1–0 M. Broholm
2′
M. Konradsen Ceide 🟨
8′
2–0 M. Broholm
23′
44′
🔁 T. Ness
↦ T. Wichne
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 E. Hustad
↦ P. Syvertsen
57′
🟨 H. Krogelien
A. Hopmark 🔁
↦ M. Ceïde
60′
O. Sivertsen 🔁
↦ T. Gjertsen
60′
62′
Samuel Pedro 2–1
67′
🔁 M. Wichmann
↦ E. Philibert
3–1 M. Rakneberg
69′
75′
🔁 E. Duesund
↦ L. Fernandes
O. Sivertsen 🟨
78′
C. Aasbak 🔁
↦ M. Rakneberg
85′
L. Alvheim 🔁
↦ B. Stokke
85′
W. Igor 🔁
↦ J. Isaksen
90′
91′
🟨 E. Brenden
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

30 M. Mbaye
5 D. Ulvestad
2 S. Nilsen
26 M. Williamsen
16 M. Ceïde
14 J. Isaksen
18 S. Jarl
21 M. Broholm
9 B. Stokke
7 T. Gjertsen
15 M. Rakneberg
Bench (9)
6 A. Hopmark
37 O. Sivertsen
3 C. Aasbak
31 L. Alvheim
24 W. Igor
1 S. McDermott
13 M. Olsen
17 B. Willumsson
38 A. Alemseged

Coach: C. Michelsen

Jerv

20 Ø. Øvretveit
5 E. Sandberg
2 T. Wichne
4 A. Mutsinzi
27 E. Philibert
16 H. Krogelien
15 E. Brenden
10 L. Fernandes
7 R. Hauge
54 P. Syvertsen
11 Samuel Pedro
Bench (5)
23 T. Ness
9 E. Hustad
6 M. Wichmann
88 E. Duesund
26 G. Dirdal

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.