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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Estrela
U S T
0–1
Full-time
Guimaraes
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Estrela Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,38 xG 0,70
49% Possession 51%
5 Shots 11
0 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 10
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Estrela Guimaraes
19′
🟨 Zé Carlos
Miguel Lopes 🟥
20′
24′
⚽ Jota Silva 0–1
Tiago Silva
Half-time 0–1
Léo Cordeiro 🔁
↦ Aloísio Souza
46′
Kikas 🔁
↦ R. NDo
46′
46′
🔁 André André
↦ Zé Carlos
Hevertton Santos 🔁
↦ Jean Felipe
51′
62′
🟨 Bruno Gaspar
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ Ronaldo Tavares
63′
65′
🔁 Miguel Maga
↦ Bruno Gaspar
70′
🟨 André André
Léo Jabá 🔁
↦ Ronald
70′
76′
🔁 Nelson da Luz
↦ Afonso de Freitas
76′
🔁 João Mendes
↦ Tiago Silva
88′
🔁 Alisson Safira
↦ Jota Silva
João Reis 🟨
94′
Léo Jabá 🟨
95′
Kikas 🟨
99′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Estrela

3-4-3
30 Bruno Brígido G
4 Kialonda Gaspar D
13 Miguel Lopes D
70 Mansur D
12 Jean Felipe M
6 Aloísio Souza M
18 Vitó M
17 João Reis M
7 R. N'Do F
9 Ronaldo Tavares F
90 Ronald F
Bench (9)
22 Léo Cordeiro
29 Kikas
27 Hevertton Santos
61 A. Ndour
8 Léo Jabá
23 Manuel Keliano
2 J. Omurwa
1 António Filipe
21 Pedro Sá

Coach: Sérgio Vieira

Guimaraes

3-5-2
14 Bruno Varela G
44 Jorge Fernandes D
6 Manu D
3 M. Villanueva D
76 Bruno Gaspar M
28 Zé Carlos M
80 Dani Silva M
10 Tiago Silva M
72 Afonso de Freitas M
7 André Silva F
11 Jota Silva F
Bench (9)
21 André André
2 Miguel Maga
20 Nelson da Luz
17 João Mendes
9 Alisson Safira
23 Matheus Índio
64 Gonçalo Nogueira
29 M. Tounkara
27 Charles

Coach: Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
🔒
U
3,20
🔒
B ✓
2,81
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,30
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,60
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.