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DFB-Pokal

Referee: R Hempel

Oberachern

0–2

Full-time

Freiburg

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oberachern Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

10,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

9,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-8,0

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

24% Possession 76%

7 Shots 30

2 Shots on target 11

1 Blocked shots 8

9 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
29	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
30	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
31	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
32	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
33	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
34	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
11	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
12	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
13	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
14	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
15	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
16	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
17	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oberachern Freiburg

Half-time 0–0

Luca Fritz 🟨

46′

55′

🔁 N. Höfler

↦ M. Gregoritsch

55′

🔁 C. Günter

↦ M. Röhl

60′

⚽ C. Günter 0–1

R. Sallai

Noah Zwick 🟨

65′

R. Angot 🔁

↦ C. Durmuş

71′

M. Weiß 🔁

↦ L. Fritz

71′

B. Barnick 🔁

↦ N. Hauser

77′

⚽ R. Sallai 0–2

N. Höfler

82′

🔁 L. Kübler

↦ R. Dōan

82′

🔁 M. Breunig

↦ R. Sallai

82′

🔁 Y. Keitel

↦ M. Eggestein

Rachid Gueddin 🟨

85′

J. Hanek 🔁

↦ R. Gueddin

86′

B. Asam 🔁

↦ N. Huber

86′

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Oberachern

3-4-1-2

1 M. Redl G

5 N. Zwick D

18 N. Leberer D

26 M. Ludwig D

3 L. Fritz M

23 N. Hauser M

10 R. Gueddin M

21 N. Recht M

7 C. Durmuş F

11 N. Huber F

9 M. Štefotić F

Bench (9)

27 R. Angot

17 M. Weiß

28 B. Barnick

29 J. Hanek

20 B. Asam

22 K. Knöller

8 L. Leberer

6 S. Anastasiadis

12 G. Springmann

Coach: F. Himmel

Freiburg

3-5-2

N. Atubolu G

K. Sildillia D

M. Ginter D

P. Lienhart D

R. Dōan M

M. Röhl M

M. Eggestein M

V. Grifo M

R. Sallai M

L. Höler F

M. Gregoritsch F

Bench (9)

27 N. Höfler

30 C. Günter

17 L. Kübler

44 M. Breunig

14 Y. Keitel

5 M. Gulde

33 J. Makengo

54 M. Baur

21 F. Müller

Coach: C. Streich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Jul POK 4 years ago

Referee

R Hempel · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,6 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

24,8 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Oberachern

Freiburg

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee