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Primeira Liga
Referee: Ricardo Baixinho
Rio Ave
S U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Chaves
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Chaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,32 xG 0,30
75% Possession 25%
21 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
14 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Feb -23 Rio Ave – Chaves 1–0 5. Sep -22 Chaves – Rio Ave 1–1 8. Mar -19 Chaves – Rio Ave 1–1 27. Oct -18 Rio Ave – Chaves 1–0 29. Apr -18 Rio Ave – Chaves 2–1

Match report

Rio Ave Chaves
14′
🟨 Bruno Langa
14′
🟨 Bruno Langa
14′
🟥 Bruno Langa
20′
🟨 Ygor Nogueira
Renato Pantalon 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
E. Boateng 🔁
↦ Hernâni
46′
Sávio 🔁
↦ R. Pantalon
46′
46′
🔁 S. Vitória
↦ Benny
Fábio Ronaldo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
61′
62′
🟨 Habib Sylla
1–0 L. Ruiz ⚽
64′
65′
🔁 Pedro Pinho
↦ João Pedro
Joca Fernandes 🟨
73′
Patrick William 🔁
↦ Josué Sá
73′
Zé Manuel 🔁
↦ Joca
73′
Vitor Gomes 🔁
↦ A. Oudrhiri
73′
90′
🔁 Rodrigo Melro
↦ Sandro Cruz
90′
🔁 João Queirós
↦ H. Sylla
Sávio 🟨
93′
2–0 Zé Manuel ⚽
Sávio
98′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rio Ave

3-4-3
82 Magrão G
42 R. Pantalon D
33 Aderllan Santos D
23 Josué Sá D
20 Costinha M
10 A. Oudrhiri M
6 Guga M
77 Fábio Ronaldo M
14 Joca F
9 L. Ruiz F
7 Hernâni F
Bench (9)
22 E. Boateng
16 Sávio
4 Patrick William
70 Zé Manuel
8 Vitor Gomes
1 Lucas Flores
17 Ukra
95 André Pereira
21 João Graça

Coach: Luís Freire

Chaves

5-3-2
1 Hugo Souza G
2 H. Sylla D
4 Bruno Rodrigues D
3 Ygor Nogueira D
5 Bruno Langa D
33 Sandro Cruz D
7 Benny M
28 K. Nwakali M
8 João Pedro M
23 Héctor Hernández F
9 Paulo Victor F
Bench (9)
19 S. Vitória
18 Pedro Pinho
87 Rodrigo Melro
44 João Queirós
24 Edu Borges
72 Guilherme Ferreira
17 Picas
31 Rodrigo Moura
96 Ktatau

Coach: José Gomes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,10
🔒
U
3,33
🔒
B
3,54
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,13
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,70
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,47 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.