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Super League
Referee: Desiree Grundbacher
Lausanne
S T S U S
1–2
Full-time
St. Gallen
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 54%
33%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,8
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,25 xG 2,91
46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 9
1 Offside 7
10 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lausanne 8. · St. Gallen 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 5 4 1 0 +7 -0.9 13
2 St. Gallen 4 3 0 1 +8 +5.6 9
3 Basel 5 3 0 2 +2 +5.5 9
4 Sion 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.8 7
5 Luzern 4 2 1 1 +1 -0.6 7
6 Zurich 5 2 1 2 -2 +0.4 7
7 Young Boys 4 1 2 1 -1 -1.5 5
8 Lausanne 3 1 0 2 -1 +4.3 3
9 Grasshoppers 5 0 3 2 -2 -3.9 3
10 Lugano 3 1 0 2 -3 +0.8 3
11 Winterthur 5 0 2 3 -8 -5.8 2
12 Servette 3 0 1 2 -5 -3.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lausanne St. Gallen
13′
ℹ️ Lukas Görtler
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Karlo Letica 🟨
16′
Olivier Custodio 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Carlo Boukhalfa
40′
🟨 Aliou Balde
Gaoussou Diakite 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–0
S. Fofana 🔁
↦ M. Poaty
46′
G. Sigua 🔁
↦ B. Lekoueiry
46′
1–0 O. Custodio
46′
55′
A. Vogt 1–1
C. May
Brandon Soppy 🟨
56′
A. Ajdini 🔁
↦ N. Butler-Oyedeji
60′
64′
A. Vogt 1–2
H. Abdallah 🔁
↦ K. Mouanga
68′
70′
🔁 C. Witzig
↦ A. Balde
76′
🟨 Cyrill May
E. Kana-Biyik 🔁
↦ B. Soppy
76′
76′
🔁 S. Vladi
↦ A. Vogt
87′
🔁 M. Stevanovic
↦ L. Gortler
Bryan Okoh 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lausanne

4-3-1-2
25 K. Letica G
14 K. Mouanga D
71 K. Sow D
5 B. Okoh D
18 M. Poaty D
2 B. Soppy M
8 J. Roche M
10 O. Custodio M
27 B. Lekoueiry M
11 N. Butler-Oyedeji F
70 G. Diakite F
Bench (9)
1 T. Castella
54 R. Lippo
93 S. Fofana
20 H. Abdallah
47 S. N'Diaye
7 A. Ajdini
38 G. Sigua
16 N. Beloko
22 E. Kana-Biyik

Coach: Peter Zeidler

St. Gallen

3-1-4-2
1 L. Ati Zigi G
26 T. Gaal D
4 J. Stanic D
72 C. May D
6 B. Neziri M
28 H. Vandermersch M
16 L. Gortler M
11 C. Boukhalfa M
36 C. Okoroji M
18 A. Vogt F
14 A. Balde F
Bench (9)
25 L. Watkowiak
7 C. Witzig
8 J. Quintilla
19 S. Vladi
20 A. Vallci
21 M. Efekele
47 E. Owusu
63 C. Konietzke
64 M. Stevanovic

Coach: Enrico Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.