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Bundesliga
Referee: C Dingert
Stuttgart
U U T T T
4–1
Full-time
Bochum
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 6%
0%
11%
Points per game
0,6
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 56%
67%
44%
Average goals
2,6
3,4
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,6
2,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 17. · Bochum 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 Freiburg 9 5 3 1 +6 18
3 Hoffenheim 10 5 2 3 +7 17
4 Bayern Munich 9 4 4 1 +17 16
5 Dortmund 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Werder Bremen 9 4 3 2 +6 15
7 M'gladbach 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 FC Koln 9 3 4 2 +1 13
10 Augsburg 9 4 1 4 -4 13
11 RB Leipzig 9 3 3 3 +1 12
12 Mainz 9 3 3 3 -4 12
13 Wolfsburg 9 2 3 4 -6 9
14 Hertha 9 1 5 3 -2 8
15 Leverkusen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
16 Schalke 04 10 1 3 6 -14 6
17 Stuttgart 9 0 5 4 -5 5
18 Bochum 9 1 1 7 -15 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Bochum
1–0 S. Katompa Mvumpa
3′
16′
🟨 Philipp Förster
2–0 N. Ahamada
S. Katompa Mvumpa
22′
29′
S. Zoller 2–1
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 C. Antwi-Adjei
↦ S. Zoller
C. Führich 🔁
↦ N. Ahamada
52′
3–1 S. Katompa Mvumpa
B. Sosa
64′
70′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ A. Losilla
71′
🟨 Cristian Gamboa
4–1 W. Endo
71′
72′
🟨 Kevin Stöger
H. Ito 🔁
↦ K. Mavropanos
75′
J. Perea 🔁
↦ Tiago Tomás
75′
N. Nartey 🔁
↦ E. Millot
76′
78′
🔁 P. Osterhage
↦ G. Holtmann
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ L. Pfeiffer
84′
90′
🔁 V. Lampropoulos
↦ P. Förster
90′
🔁 J. Osei-Tutu
↦ P. Hofmann
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-1-3-2
1 F. Müller G
5 K. Mavropanos D
2 W. Anton D
23 D. Zagadou D
24 B. Sosa D
3 W. Endo M
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
32 N. Ahamada M
8 E. Millot M
20 L. Pfeiffer F
10 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
22 C. Führich
21 H. Ito
11 J. Perea
28 N. Nartey
15 P. Stenzel
25 L. Egloff
7 T. Coulibaly
39 T. Kastanaras
33 F. Bredlow

Coach: M. Wimmer

Bochum

4-3-3
1 M. Riemann G
2 C. Gamboa D
4 E. Mašović D
20 I. Ordets D
3 Danilo Soares D
7 K. Stöger M
8 A. Losilla M
10 P. Förster M
9 S. Zoller F
33 P. Hofmann F
17 G. Holtmann F
Bench (9)
22 C. Antwi-Adjei
35 S. Ganvoula
6 P. Osterhage
24 V. Lampropoulos
18 J. Osei-Tutu
14 T. Oermann
38 J. Horn
30 D. Heintz
26 M. Johansson

Coach: T. Letsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,65
U
4,04
B
5,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,06
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.