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Serie A

Referee: M Piccinini

Udinese

U S S S S

1–3

Full-time

Parma

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 6

12 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 9

8 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 7. · Parma 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Lazio	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Lazio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Brescia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.