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Ligue 1

Referee: G Angoula

Nantes

S T U U T

1–1

Full-time

Nice

S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Nice

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,3

2,1

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,49 xG 0,85

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 1

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nantes 11. · Nice 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	6	2	0	+17	+14.3	20
2	Monaco	8	6	2	0	+10	+10.0	20
3	Marseille	7	4	2	1	+8	-1.2	14
4	Lille	8	4	2	2	+5	+3.3	14
5	Lens	8	3	5	0	+5	+4.9	14
6	Reims	7	4	2	1	+4	-1.7	14
7	Lyon	8	4	1	3	+2	+3.8	13
8	Strasbourg	8	2	4	2	+0	+0.3	10
9	Brest	8	3	1	4	-3	-6.2	10
10	Nice	7	2	3	2	+8	+3.9	9
11	Nantes	7	2	3	2	+1	-1.2	9
12	Rennes	8	2	2	4	+0	-0.2	8
13	St Etienne	8	2	1	5	-14	-9.4	7
14	Auxerre	7	2	0	5	-6	-5.1	6
15	Le Havre	8	2	0	6	-12	-6.8	6
16	Toulouse	7	1	2	4	-4	+4.6	5
17	Montpellier	7	1	1	5	-13	-8.3	4
18	Angers	7	0	3	4	-8	-4.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+12	+8.2	12
2	Monaco	5	3	2	0	+4	+5.1	11
3	Brest	5	3	1	1	+4	-0.5	10
4	Strasbourg	4	2	2	0	+3	+2.0	8
5	Rennes	4	2	1	1	+5	+1.9	7
6	Lille	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.9	7
7	Reims	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.2	7
8	Auxerre	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.1	6
9	Lyon	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.6	6
10	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.2	6
11	Nice	3	1	2	0	+8	+3.8	5
12	Marseille	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.0	5
13	Lens	3	1	2	0	+2	+3.4	5
14	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+1	+2.1	4
15	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.7	4
16	Toulouse	4	1	1	2	-1	+3.0	4
17	Le Havre	4	1	0	3	-8	-5.9	3
18	Angers	4	0	1	3	-6	-3.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	4	3	0	1	+6	-2.1	9
2	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	+5.0	9
3	Lens	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.4	9
4	Paris SG	4	2	2	0	+5	+6.1	8
5	Lille	4	2	1	1	+4	+4.2	7
6	Reims	3	2	1	0	+3	-1.5	7
7	Lyon	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.2	7
8	Nantes	4	1	2	1	+0	-3.3	5
9	Nice	4	1	1	2	+0	+0.1	4
10	Le Havre	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.9	3
11	Angers	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.7	2
12	Strasbourg	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.8	2
13	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-3	+1.5	1
14	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-5	-2.1	1
15	St Etienne	4	0	1	3	-13	-9.7	1
16	Auxerre	4	0	0	4	-7	-5.2	0
17	Brest	3	0	0	3	-7	-5.8	0
18	Montpellier	4	0	0	4	-12	-9.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.