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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Szczerbowicz

Gornik Zabrze

T S T U T

3–1

Full-time

Stal Mielec

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Stal Mielec

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 29%

27%

30%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

45%

20%

Both score Ø 43%

45%

40%

Average goals

2,5

1,9

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,24 xG 1,57

58% Possession 42%

22 Shots 12

10 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 12. · Stal Mielec 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	12	9	1	2	+16	+7.7	28
2	Jagiellonia	12	8	1	3	+3	-1.4	25
3	Rakow	11	7	2	2	+11	+8.1	23
4	Cracovia	12	7	2	3	+5	+0.3	23
5	Legia	12	5	4	3	+8	+7.8	19
6	Pogon Szczecin	11	6	1	4	+4	+4.7	19
7	Widzew Lodz	12	5	4	3	+2	-1.1	19
8	Piast Gliwice	12	5	3	4	+2	+2.3	18
9	GKS Katowice	12	4	4	4	+5	+1.5	16
10	Motor Lublin	12	4	3	5	-4	-4.0	15
11	Zaglebie	12	4	2	6	-8	-3.4	14
12	Gornik Zabrze	11	3	3	5	-1	+1.5	12
13	Korona Kielce	12	3	3	6	-9	-5.0	12
14	Stal Mielec	10	3	2	5	-3	+0.3	11
15	Radomiak Radom	10	3	0	7	-4	-1.0	9
16	Lechia Gdansk	12	2	3	7	-10	-11.8	9
17	Puszcza	11	1	5	5	-9	-7.2	8
18	Slask Wroclaw	10	0	5	5	-8	+0.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	6	6	0	0	+10	+6.9	18
2	Lech Poznan	6	5	0	1	+11	+7.1	15
3	Jagiellonia	6	4	1	1	+4	+3.3	13
4	Legia	6	3	1	2	+6	+5.9	10
5	Widzew Lodz	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.1	10
6	Stal Mielec	6	3	1	2	+1	+4.7	10
7	Zaglebie	6	3	1	2	+0	-0.3	10
8	GKS Katowice	7	2	3	2	+2	-2.0	9
9	Piast Gliwice	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
10	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	-2	+1.4	8
11	Motor Lublin	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.6	8
12	Rakow	5	2	1	2	+4	+3.6	7
13	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	1	2	+2	+3.4	7
14	Radomiak Radom	5	2	0	3	+1	+2.2	6
15	Korona Kielce	6	2	0	4	-3	-0.3	6
16	Puszcza	6	1	3	2	-4	-3.6	6
17	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	2	3	-4	-5.9	5
18	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	3	1	-2	+2.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+7	+4.5	16
2	Cracovia	6	5	0	1	+7	-1.1	15
3	Lech Poznan	6	4	1	1	+5	+0.6	13
4	Jagiellonia	6	4	0	2	-1	-4.7	12
5	Piast Gliwice	7	3	1	3	+0	+1.2	10
6	Legia	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.9	9
7	Widzew Lodz	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.3	9
8	GKS Katowice	5	2	1	2	+3	+3.5	7
9	Motor Lublin	5	2	1	2	-1	-3.5	7
10	Korona Kielce	6	1	3	2	-6	-4.7	6
11	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-3	-2.0	5
12	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.9	4
13	Zaglebie	6	1	1	4	-8	-3.1	4
14	Radomiak Radom	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.1	3
15	Puszcza	5	0	2	3	-5	-3.6	2
16	Slask Wroclaw	6	0	2	4	-6	-2.0	2
17	Stal Mielec	4	0	1	3	-4	-4.4	1
18	Pogon Szczecin	5	0	1	4	-6	-2.2	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.