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Ligue 1
Referee: M Bollengier
Angers
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Rennes
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,5
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,23 xG 1,46
37% Possession 63%
10 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
1 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 10. · Rennes 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 3 3 0 0 +5 +3.3 9
2 Lille 3 2 1 0 +7 +3.3 7
3 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.2 6
4 Lens 3 2 0 1 +2 +2.1 6
5 Strasbourg 2 2 0 0 +2 +1.7 6
6 Toulouse 3 2 0 1 +0 -0.3 6
7 Marseille 2 1 0 1 +2 +2.0 3
8 Monaco 2 1 0 1 +1 -0.5 3
9 Nice 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.6 3
10 Angers 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.6 3
11 Nantes 3 1 0 2 -1 -2.8 3
12 Auxerre 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.2 3
13 Lorient 3 1 0 2 -3 +0.9 3
14 Rennes 2 1 0 1 -3 -3.2 3
15 Brest 3 0 1 2 -4 -2.8 1
16 Le Havre 2 0 0 2 -3 -0.3 0
17 Paris FC 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.8 0
18 Metz 2 0 0 2 -4 -2.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Rennes
21′
E. Lepaul 0–1
Q. Merlin
Yassin Belkhdim 🟨
24′
32′
🟨 Jérémy Jacquet
42′
🟨 Przemysław Frankowski
Half-time 0–1
Sidiki Cherif 🟨
49′
1–1 P. Peter
Y. Belkhdim
51′
60′
🔁 M. Meite
↦ M. Tamari
M. Courcoul 🔁
↦ L. Mouton
69′
J. Allevinah 🔁
↦ S. Cherif
69′
L. Machine 🔁
↦ P. Peter
70′
83′
🔁 M. Faye
↦ L. Brassier
83′
🔁 D. Cisse
↦ S. Fofana
83′
🔁 F. Rieder
↦ E. Lepaul
88′
🔁 B. Yildirim
↦ L. Blas
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
12 H. Koffi G
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
3 J. Ekomie D
14 Y. Belkhdim M
93 H. Belkebla M
27 L. Raolisoa M
6 L. Mouton M
11 S. Cherif M
35 P. Peter F
Bench (9)
16 M. Zinga
26 F. Hanin
25 A. Bamba
24 E. Biumla
15 P. Capelle
5 M. Courcoul
18 J. Allevinah
36 L. Machine
17 J. Kalumba

Coach: Alexandre Dujeux

Rennes

3-5-2
30 B. Samba G
24 A. Rouault D
97 J. Jacquet D
3 L. Brassier D
95 P. Frankowski M
10 L. Blas M
21 V. Rongier M
8 S. Fofana M
26 Q. Merlin M
11 M. Tamari F
9 E. Lepaul F
Bench (9)
16 D. Alemdar
15 M. Faye
36 A. Seidu
18 M. Nagida
6 D. Cisse
32 F. Rieder
39 M. Meite
65 N. Mukiele
99 B. Yildirim

Coach: Franck Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,34
U ✓
3,37
B
2,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.