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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Waregem
S S T U T
1–3
Full-time
Charleroi
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 6. · Charleroi 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 4 4 0 0 +8 12
2 Anderlecht 5 4 0 1 +8 12
3 Antwerp 4 4 0 0 +6 12
4 Charleroi 5 3 0 2 +1 9
5 Club Brugge 4 2 1 1 +3 7
6 Waregem 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 Kortrijk 6 2 1 3 -2 7
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Oostende 5 2 0 3 -2 6
11 St Truiden 5 1 3 1 -2 6
12 Gent 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Mechelen 4 1 1 2 +0 4
14 Cercle Brugge 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Seraing 5 1 0 4 -4 3
16 Seraing United 5 1 0 4 -4 3
17 Eupen 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Charleroi
1–0 A. Fadera ⚽
A. Ciranni
5′
36′
⚽ D. Heymans 1–1
K. Nkuba
Half-time 1–1
L. Willen 🔁
↦ A. Ciranni
57′
R. Tsouka 🔁
↦ Dani Ramírez
57′
61′
🔁 Y. Badji
↦ A. Benbouali
Borja López 🟨
66′
L. Vigen 🔁
↦ N. Dismas
67′
S. Braem 🔁
↦ J. Vossen
67′
71′
🔁 J. Kayembe
↦ J. Tchatchoua
72′
🔁 I. Mbenza
↦ A. Gholizadeh
L. Hallaert 🔁
↦ A. Fadera
80′
80′
🔁 R. Morioka
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
80′
🔁 A. Zaroury
↦ D. Heymans
83′
⚽ J. Kayembe 1–2
I. Mbenza
89′
⚽ A. Zaroury 1–3
R. Morioka
Abdoulaye Sissako 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Waregem

4-3-3
1 S. Bossut G
14 A. Ciranni D
18 M. Tambedou D
3 Borja López D
5 O. Drambaev D
6 A. Sissako M
20 N. Rommens M
26 N. Dismas M
23 Dani Ramírez F
9 J. Vossen F
7 A. Fadera F
Bench (7)
31 L. Willen
2 R. Tsouka
8 L. Vigen
34 S. Braem
35 L. Hallaert
10 M. Sangaré
25 L. Bostyn

Coach: M. Leye

Charleroi

3-4-2-1
16 H. Koffi G
2 J. Bager D
21 S. Andreou D
5 L. Bessilé D
28 K. Nkuba M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
6 A. Zorgane M
38 J. Tchatchoua M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
18 D. Heymans F
45 A. Benbouali F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Badji
12 J. Kayembe
7 I. Mbenza
44 R. Morioka
70 A. Zaroury
25 D. Marcq
1 P. Patron

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,12
U
3,70
B ✓
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

E Lambrechts · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.