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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Gent
T S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Eupen
S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 24/31 matches
Win Ø 42%
58%
26%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
42%
65%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
25 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
12 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
16 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 6. · Eupen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 26 20 5 1 +45 65
2 St. Gilloise 25 19 3 3 +26 60
3 Antwerp 26 18 4 4 +32 58
4 Anderlecht 31 14 6 11 +14 48
5 Charleroi 31 14 5 12 +2 47
6 Gent 24 14 3 7 +21 45
7 Club Brugge 25 13 6 6 +16 45
8 St Truiden 32 12 9 11 -2 45
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 32 11 9 12 +5 42
10 Cercle Brugge 26 10 10 6 +6 40
11 Westerlo 25 11 6 8 +7 39
12 Mechelen 31 10 6 15 -13 36
13 Kortrijk 32 10 6 16 -17 36
14 Standard 25 10 5 10 -1 35
15 Eupen 31 8 6 17 -21 30
16 Waregem 32 6 10 16 -26 28
17 Oostende 32 6 7 19 -30 25
18 Seraing 30 5 4 21 -32 19
19 Seraing United 30 5 4 21 -32 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Eupen
Julien De Sart 🟨
9′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Cuypers
G. Orban
46′
V. Odjidja-Ofoe 🔁
↦ J. De Sart
62′
69′
🔁 S. Peeters
↦ B. Baiye
J. Okumu 🔁
↦ K. Piątkowski
70′
Michael Ngadeu 🟨
75′
1–1 J. Davidson
own goal
77′
78′
🔁 I. Nuhu
↦ D. Gassama
B. Agbor 🔁
↦ Hong Hyun-Seok
79′
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
80′
J. Hauge 🔁
↦ J. Torunarigha
80′
2–1 J. Okumu
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
85′
86′
🔁 I. Christie-Davies
↦ J. Davidson
86′
🔁 T. Alloh
↦ Y. Van Genechten
87′
🔁 Davo
↦ S. Prevljak
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
1 P. Nardi G
4 K. Piątkowski D
5 M. Ngadeu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
19 M. Fofana M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok F
20 G. Orban F
11 H. Cuypers F
Bench (7)
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe
2 J. Okumu
38 B. Agbor
29 L. Depoitre
10 J. Hauge
35 C. Van Daele
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Eupen

4-3-3
1 L. Moser G
2 Y. Van Genechten D
28 R. Paeshuyse D
5 L. Bessilé D
3 J. Davidson D
6 B. Baiye M
35 B. Lambert M
15 G. Magnée M
11 K. N’Dri F
9 S. Prevljak F
25 D. Gassama F
Bench (7)
8 S. Peeters
7 I. Nuhu
23 I. Christie-Davies
29 T. Alloh
13 Davo
4 A. Filin
33 A. Nurudeen

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
4,98
B
8,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.