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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Anderlecht
S U S T T
2–3
Full-time
Mechelen
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 37%
44%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
47%
65%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 7. · Mechelen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 29 22 5 2 +47 71
2 Antwerp 30 22 4 4 +37 70
3 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +29 70
4 Gent 29 17 5 7 +34 56
5 Club Brugge 29 16 7 6 +23 55
6 Charleroi 34 16 5 13 +2 53
7 Anderlecht 34 15 7 12 +12 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 13 9 13 +11 48
9 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
10 Cercle Brugge 29 12 10 7 +9 46
11 Standard 28 13 5 10 +5 44
12 Westerlo 30 11 10 9 +6 43
13 Mechelen 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Kortrijk 35 10 7 18 -20 37
15 Waregem 35 7 10 18 -25 31
16 Eupen 35 8 7 20 -29 31
17 Oostende 35 6 7 22 -41 25
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Mechelen
1–0 M. Stroeykens
K. Sardella
6′
40′
R. Schoofs 1–1
S. Walsh
43′
R. Schoofs 1–2
G. Hairemans
Half-time 2–2
2–2 I. Slimani
F. Amuzu
53′
M. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ Z. Debast
56′
63′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ E. Agyei
K. Arnstad 🔁
↦ F. Amuzu
68′
L. Refaelov 🔁
↦ M. Kana
68′
74′
🔁 Alessio Da Cruz
↦ G. Hairemans
74′
🔁 J. Van Hecke
↦ A. Van Hoorenbeeck
74′
🔁 I. Swers
↦ S. Walsh
81′
D. Bates 2–3
R. Schoofs
L. Stassin 🔁
↦ K. Sardella
85′
N. Angulo 🔁
↦ M. Stroeykens
85′
85′
🔁 B. Bafdili
↦ N. Storm
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
16 B. Verbruggen G
54 K. Sardella D
56 Z. Debast D
14 J. Vertonghen D
3 H. Delcroix D
29 M. Stroeykens M
55 M. Kana M
18 M. Ashimeru M
36 A. Dreyer F
13 I. Slimani F
7 F. Amuzu F
Bench (7)
5 M. N'Diaye
61 K. Arnstad
11 L. Refaelov
76 L. Stassin
32 N. Angulo
71 T. Leoni
30 H. Van Crombrugge

Coach: B. Riemer

Mechelen

3-4-1-2
1 G. Coucke G
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
27 D. Bates D
4 D. Wouters D
5 S. Walsh M
14 D. Lavalée M
16 R. Schoofs M
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck M
7 G. Hairemans F
23 E. Agyei F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
10 Y. Malede
22 Alessio Da Cruz
6 J. Van Hecke
2 I. Swers
35 B. Bafdili
15 Y. Thoelen
9 J. Ngoy

Coach: S. Defour

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,34
U
5,18
B ✓
7,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.