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Eredivisie

Referee: E van de Graaf

Feyenoord

T S S S T

3–1

Full-time

Utrecht

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 29/27 matches

Win Ø 55%

72%

37%

Points per game

2,4

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

56%

Both score Ø 59%

62%

56%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,4

1,4

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · Utrecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	29	21	7	1	+43	70
2	PSV Eindhoven	30	20	5	5	+46	65
3	Ajax	30	18	8	4	+47	62
4	AZ Alkmaar	29	17	6	6	+24	57
5	Sparta Rotterdam	26	15	6	5	+22	51
6	Twente	26	14	7	5	+26	49
7	Utrecht	27	10	9	8	-2	39
8	Waalwijk	29	10	8	11	-3	38
9	Go Ahead Eagles	30	9	9	12	-8	36
10	Nijmegen	29	7	14	8	+4	35
11	Heerenveen	28	9	7	12	-10	34
12	For Sittard	30	9	5	16	-21	32
13	Vitesse	30	7	10	13	-12	31
14	Volendam	30	8	6	16	-25	30
15	FC Emmen	30	6	10	14	-22	28
16	Excelsior	30	8	4	18	-39	28
17	Groningen	29	4	5	20	-31	17
18	Cambuur	30	4	4	22	-39	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	13	1	1	+39	40
2	Twente	13	11	2	0	+29	35
3	Feyenoord	14	10	4	0	+23	34
4	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+31	31
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	9	1	3	+15	28
6	Waalwijk	15	8	3	4	+10	27
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	7	5	2	+10	26
8	Go Ahead Eagles	15	6	5	4	+2	23
9	Excelsior	15	7	2	6	-5	23
10	Volendam	15	7	1	7	-5	22
11	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	Nijmegen	15	3	9	3	+4	18
13	FC Emmen	15	3	9	3	-2	18
14	For Sittard	15	4	3	8	-9	15
15	Vitesse	15	3	6	6	-9	15
16	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Groningen	14	3	3	8	-7	12
18	Cambuur	15	2	0	13	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+20	36
2	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+16	31
3	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	1	4	+14	31
4	PSV Eindhoven	15	7	4	4	+7	25
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Heerenveen	14	5	5	4	-2	20
7	Utrecht	13	5	4	4	-2	19
8	Nijmegen	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	For Sittard	15	5	2	8	-12	17
10	Vitesse	15	4	4	7	-3	16
11	Twente	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	4	8	-10	13
13	Waalwijk	14	2	5	7	-13	11
14	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-19	10
15	FC Emmen	15	3	1	11	-20	10
16	Volendam	15	1	5	9	-20	8
17	Groningen	15	1	2	12	-24	5
18	Excelsior	15	1	2	12	-34	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.