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Serie B
Referee: D Perenzoni
Ternana
T S U T S
1–4
Full-time
Venezia
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ternana Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 32%
33%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
48%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
45%
61%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ternana 12. · Venezia 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 34 20 8 6 +31 68
2 Genoa 34 19 10 5 +24 67
3 Bari 33 15 12 6 +20 57
4 Sudtirol 34 13 14 7 +4 53
5 Parma 34 14 9 11 +5 51
6 Reggina 34 15 4 15 +5 49
7 Cagliari 34 11 15 8 +8 48
8 Pisa 33 11 13 9 +11 46
9 Modena 34 12 8 14 -1 44
10 Palermo 34 10 14 10 -1 44
11 Ascoli 34 11 10 13 -6 43
12 Ternana 33 11 10 12 -7 43
13 Como 34 9 15 10 -2 42
14 Venezia 33 10 9 14 -7 39
15 Cosenza 34 9 11 14 -21 38
16 Cittadella 34 8 13 13 -13 37
17 Perugia 34 9 8 17 -7 35
18 Brescia 34 8 11 15 -20 35
19 Spal 34 7 13 14 -9 34
20 Benevento 34 6 13 15 -14 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Dec -22 Venezia – Ternana 2–1

Match report

Ternana Venezia
21′
A. Carboni 0–1
M. Kofod Andersen
32′
J. Pohjanpalo 0–2
44′
M. Ellertsson 0–3
T. Tessmann
Half-time 0–3
M. Defendi 🔁
↦ A. Palumbo
46′
Francesco Di Tacchio 🟨
49′
M. Proietti 🔁
↦ F. Di Tacchio
58′
A. Donnarumma 🔁
↦ A. Partipilo
58′
Marino Defendi 🟨
59′
59′
🔁 G. Busio
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
62′
🟨 Jesse Joronen
63′
🟨 Petko Hristov
G. Capanni 🔁
↦ C. Falletti
66′
71′
🔁 R. Ciervo
↦ A. Candela
71′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ M. Ellertsson
72′
D. Cheryshev 0–4
R. Ciervo
B. Martella 🔁
↦ N. Corrado
75′
1–4 G. Capanni
A. Favilli
79′
83′
🔁 M. Šverko
↦ P. Hristov
83′
🔁 N. Pierini
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
85′
🟨 Dennis Johnsen
Luka Bogdan 🟨
86′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Ternana

4-3-3
1 A. Iannarilli G
23 S. Diakité D
4 F. Sørensen D
26 L. Bogdan D
91 N. Corrado D
34 D. Agazzi M
14 F. Di Tacchio M
5 A. Palumbo M
21 A. Partipilo F
17 A. Favilli F
10 C. Falletti F
Bench (12)
25 M. Defendi
8 M. Proietti
9 A. Donnarumma
7 G. Capanni
87 B. Martella
20 F. Paghera
29 F. Cassata
18 G. Onesti
24 L. Ghiringhelli
12 T. Krapikas
33 T. Vitali
6 F. Mazzarani

Coach: C. Lucarelli

Venezia

3-5-2
66 J. Joronen G
55 P. Hristov D
30 M. Svoboda D
44 A. Carboni D
27 A. Candela M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
8 T. Tessmann M
77 M. Ellertsson M
7 F. Zampano M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (11)
6 G. Busio
19 R. Ciervo
21 D. Cheryshev
33 M. Šverko
25 N. Pierini
62 T. Milanese
13 M. Modolo
23 L. Ceppitelli
12 Bruno
24 F. Neri
11 A. Novakovich

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
U
3,22
B ✓
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Perenzoni · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.