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Eredivisie

Referee: S Gözübüyük

PSV Eindhoven

U S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Ajax

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,5

3,7

Scored

3,2

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 64%

66%

62%

Points per game

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

69%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

66%

Average goals

3,9

3,7

Scored

2,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

11 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	29	21	7	1	+43	70
2	Ajax	29	18	8	3	+50	62
3	PSV Eindhoven	29	19	5	5	+43	62
4	AZ Alkmaar	29	17	6	6	+24	57
5	Sparta Rotterdam	26	15	6	5	+22	51
6	Twente	26	14	7	5	+26	49
7	Utrecht	27	10	9	8	-2	39
8	Waalwijk	29	10	8	11	-3	38
9	Nijmegen	29	7	14	8	+4	35
10	Heerenveen	28	9	7	12	-10	34
11	Go Ahead Eagles	29	8	9	12	-10	33
12	For Sittard	29	9	5	15	-19	32
13	Vitesse	30	7	10	13	-12	31
14	Volendam	30	8	6	16	-25	30
15	FC Emmen	30	6	10	14	-22	28
16	Excelsior	30	8	4	18	-39	28
17	Groningen	29	4	5	20	-31	17
18	Cambuur	30	4	4	22	-39	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	12	1	1	+36	37
2	Twente	13	11	2	0	+29	35
3	Feyenoord	14	10	4	0	+23	34
4	Ajax	15	9	4	2	+31	31
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	9	1	3	+15	28
6	Waalwijk	15	8	3	4	+10	27
7	AZ Alkmaar	14	7	5	2	+10	26
8	Excelsior	15	7	2	6	-5	23
9	Volendam	15	7	1	7	-5	22
10	Go Ahead Eagles	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Utrecht	14	5	5	4	+0	20
12	Nijmegen	15	3	9	3	+4	18
13	FC Emmen	15	3	9	3	-2	18
14	For Sittard	15	4	3	8	-9	15
15	Vitesse	15	3	6	6	-9	15
16	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-8	14
17	Groningen	14	3	3	8	-7	12
18	Cambuur	15	2	0	13	-20	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	11	3	1	+20	36
2	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+19	31
3	AZ Alkmaar	15	10	1	4	+14	31
4	PSV Eindhoven	15	7	4	4	+7	25
5	Sparta Rotterdam	13	6	5	2	+7	23
6	Heerenveen	14	5	5	4	-2	20
7	Utrecht	13	5	4	4	-2	19
8	Nijmegen	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	For Sittard	14	5	2	7	-10	17
10	Vitesse	15	4	4	7	-3	16
11	Twente	13	3	5	5	-3	14
12	Go Ahead Eagles	15	3	4	8	-10	13
13	Waalwijk	14	2	5	7	-13	11
14	Cambuur	15	2	4	9	-19	10
15	FC Emmen	15	3	1	11	-20	10
16	Volendam	15	1	5	9	-20	8
17	Groningen	15	1	2	12	-24	5
18	Excelsior	15	1	2	12	-34	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.