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2. Bundesliga
Referee: N Winter
Hansa Rostock
S U T S T
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%
23 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 5. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Holstein Kiel 5 4 0 1 +3 12
3 Magdeburg 5 3 2 0 +5 11
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 3 1 1 +7 10
5 Hansa Rostock 5 3 0 2 +1 9
6 Kaiserslautern 5 3 0 2 +0 9
7 Hannover 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Wehen 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Nurnberg 6 2 2 2 -2 8
10 St Pauli 5 1 4 0 +1 7
11 Karlsruhe 5 2 1 2 +0 7
12 Paderborn 6 2 1 3 -5 7
13 Greuther Furth 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 Schalke 04 5 1 1 3 -2 4
15 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Elversberg 5 1 1 3 -6 4
17 Hertha 5 1 0 4 -2 3
18 Osnabruck 5 0 1 4 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock Fortuna Dusseldorf
17′
C. Tzolis 0–1
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
35′
A. Hoffmann 0–2
J. de Wijs
1–2 J. van der Werff
45′
Half-time 1–2
K. Schumacher 🔁
↦ D. Roßbach
46′
47′
🟨 Yannik Engelhardt
Kevin Schumacher 🟨
51′
54′
🔁 J. Siebert
↦ A. Hoffmann
Dennis Dressel 🟨
57′
62′
🔁 A. Tanaka
↦ S. Appelkamp
62′
🔁 J. Niemiec
↦ C. Tzolis
N. Fröling 🔁
↦ S. Ingelsson
67′
Júnior Brumado 🔁
↦ K. Pröger
67′
74′
🔁 D. Ginczek
↦ V. Vermeij
74′
🔁 T. Oberdorf
↦ M. Zimmermann
80′
🟨 Tim Christopher Oberdorf
87′
J. Niemiec 1–3
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
C. Kinsombi 🔁
↦ J. Bachmann
88′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

3-4-1-2
1 M. Kolke G
22 J. van der Werff D
17 J. David D
4 D. Roßbach D
7 N. Neidhart M
26 J. Bachmann M
6 D. Dressel M
21 A. Rossipal M
14 S. Ingelsson F
9 K. Pröger F
18 J. Perea F
Bench (9)
13 K. Schumacher
10 N. Fröling
49 Júnior Brumado
27 C. Kinsombi
19 S. Vasiliadis
11 S. Güler
28 S. Singh
16 L. Hinterseer
23 N. Körber

Coach: A. Schwartz

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-5-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
25 M. Zimmermann D
3 A. Hoffmann D
30 J. de Wijs D
19 E. Iyoha D
11 F. Klaus M
23 S. Appelkamp M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M
7 C. Tzolis M
9 V. Vermeij F
Bench (9)
20 J. Siebert
4 A. Tanaka
18 J. Niemiec
10 D. Ginczek
15 T. Oberdorf
1 K. Niemczycki
27 D. Jastrzembski
2 T. Uchino
34 N. Gavory

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,18
U
3,43
B ✓
2,19
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,86
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Winter · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.