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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Zurich
S U U T S
3–1
Full-time
Young Boys
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 56%
50%
62%
Points per game
1,9
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
62%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
69%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,9
2,4
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,26 xG 1,13
39% Possession 61%
19 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 2. · Young Boys 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Young Boys 13 8 4 1 +19 +2.0 28
2 Zurich 14 7 6 1 +14 -1.7 27
3 St. Gallen 14 8 3 3 +12 +7.4 27
4 Servette 14 7 4 3 +6 +6.7 25
5 Luzern 14 6 3 5 -5 +0.3 21
6 Yverdon 14 4 5 5 -6 -4.2 17
7 Lausanne 14 4 4 6 +0 +1.9 16
8 Lugano 13 5 1 7 -3 +3.4 16
9 Winterthur 14 4 4 6 -6 +0.1 16
10 Grasshoppers 14 4 2 8 -3 -3.1 14
11 Lausanne Ouchy 13 2 4 7 -14 -4.9 10
12 Basel 13 2 2 9 -14 -7.9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Young Boys
1–0 J. Okita
C. Conde
6′
Adrián Guerrero 🟨
13′
2–0 N. Katić
Adrián Guerrero
28′
32′
M. Elia 2–1
Half-time 2–1
50′
🟨 Ulisses Garcia
69′
🔁 Joël Monteiro
↦ E. Colley
69′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ D. Males
M. Hornschuh 🔁
↦ S. Wallner
77′
77′
🔁 S. Janko
↦ L. Blum
A. Marchesano 🔁
↦ J. Okita
82′
B. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ D. Afriyie
83′
88′
🔁 N. Persson
↦ U. Garcia
88′
🔁 D. Rrudhani
↦ J. Nsame
Ifeanyi Mathew 🟨
90′
96′
🟨 Loris Benito
I. Santini 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Conceição
97′
3–1 B. Krasniqi 0
I. Mathew
100′
Bledian Krasniqi 🟨
101′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Zurich

3-4-3
25 Y. Brecher G
2 L. Kamberi D
24 N. Katić D
4 S. Wallner D
19 N. Boranijašević M
17 C. Conde M
12 I. Mathew M
3 Adrián Guerrero M
27 Rodrigo Conceição F
18 D. Afriyie F
11 J. Okita F
Bench (9)
16 M. Hornschuh
10 A. Marchesano
7 B. Krasniqi
9 I. Santini
31 M. Kryeziu
22 A. Oko-Flex
1 Ž. Kostadinović
32 S. Hodža
23 F. Rohner

Coach: B. Henriksen

Young Boys

4-3-1-2
1 A. Racioppi G
27 L. Blum D
13 M. Camara D
23 L. Benito D
21 U. Garcia D
7 F. Ugrinic M
20 C. Niasse M
11 E. Colley M
39 D. Males M
18 J. Nsame F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (9)
77 Joël Monteiro
35 S. Ganvoula
17 S. Janko
19 N. Persson
22 D. Rrudhani
26 D. von Ballmoos
4 A. Amenda
28 F. Lustenberger
14 M. Chaiwa

Coach: R. Wicky

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Dudic · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.