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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Getafe

U U S S U

2–1

Full-time

Almeria

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 12%

23%

Points per game

1,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

46%

77%

Both score Ø 66%

54%

77%

Average goals

2,5

3,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,17 xG 1,87

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Getafe 11. · Almeria 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	13	11	1	1	+15	+8.5	34
2	Real Madrid	13	10	2	1	+19	+11.1	32
3	Barcelona	14	9	4	1	+13	+14.2	31
4	Ath Madrid	12	9	1	2	+17	+12.4	28
5	Ath Bilbao	13	7	3	3	+8	+8.6	24
6	Sociedad	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.6	22
7	Betis	13	5	6	2	+1	+0.6	21
8	Valencia	14	5	4	5	-2	+1.4	19
9	Vallecano	14	4	7	3	-2	-5.1	19
10	Las Palmas	13	5	3	5	-1	-3.5	18
11	Getafe	13	3	7	3	-2	-3.5	16
12	Alaves	14	4	3	7	-5	+1.1	15
13	Osasuna	13	4	2	7	-6	-4.2	14
14	Sevilla	12	2	6	4	+1	-5.2	12
15	Villarreal	13	3	3	7	-6	-6.8	12
16	Cadiz	12	2	4	6	-7	-7.3	10
17	Mallorca	12	1	6	5	-6	-4.2	9
18	Celta	14	1	5	8	-10	-3.1	8
19	Granada	14	1	4	9	-14	-10.6	7
20	Almeria	13	0	3	10	-20	-6.1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+10	+6.6	18
2	Ath Madrid	6	6	0	0	+9	+8.6	18
3	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+12	+9.0	16
4	Girona	6	5	0	1	+7	+2.6	15
5	Ath Bilbao	7	4	2	1	+7	+8.0	14
6	Betis	6	4	2	0	+7	+5.0	14
7	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+6	+0.2	14
8	Valencia	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.5	13
9	Alaves	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.5	13
10	Getafe	6	3	3	0	+3	+1.7	12
11	Las Palmas	6	3	2	1	+2	-0.9	11
12	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	+3	-1.1	9
13	Cadiz	6	2	3	1	+2	+2.8	9
14	Vallecano	7	1	4	2	-6	-4.7	7
15	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.7	6
16	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.2	5
17	Mallorca	5	0	4	1	-1	-2.2	4
18	Villarreal	7	1	1	5	-4	-2.5	4
19	Celta	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.6	3
20	Almeria	7	0	2	5	-8	-0.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	7	6	1	0	+8	+5.9	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+7	+2.1	16
3	Barcelona	7	3	4	0	+3	+7.6	13
4	Vallecano	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.4	12
5	Ath Madrid	6	3	1	2	+8	+3.9	10
6	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.6	10
7	Osasuna	6	3	0	3	-1	-4.0	9
8	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.3	8
9	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-2	-4.3	8
10	Las Palmas	7	2	1	4	-3	-2.6	7
11	Betis	7	1	4	2	-6	-4.4	7
12	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-7	-3.1	6
13	Celta	7	1	2	4	-3	-3.7	5
14	Mallorca	7	1	2	4	-5	-2.0	5
15	Getafe	7	0	4	3	-5	-5.2	4
16	Sevilla	5	0	3	2	-2	-4.1	3
17	Alaves	7	0	2	5	-6	-2.4	2
18	Cadiz	6	0	1	5	-9	-10.0	1
19	Granada	7	0	1	6	-10	-5.9	1
20	Almeria	6	0	1	5	-12	-5.7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.