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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Laval
T T S T T
4–0
Full-time
Caen
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
45%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
64%
36%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
55%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 18. · Caen 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Amiens 11 7 2 2 +5 23
3 Le Havre 11 6 4 1 +14 22
4 Sochaux 11 7 1 3 +12 22
5 Valenciennes 11 5 4 2 +2 19
6 Caen 11 5 3 3 +5 18
7 Guingamp 11 5 3 3 +2 18
8 Paris FC 12 4 4 4 +0 16
9 Grenoble 11 4 4 3 -1 16
10 Bastia 11 5 1 5 -4 16
11 Metz 11 4 2 5 +1 14
12 Quevilly Rouen 11 3 4 4 -4 13
13 Annecy 11 3 3 5 +0 12
14 Dijon 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 St Etienne 12 2 5 5 -4 11
16 Rodez 11 2 5 4 -5 11
17 Pau FC 11 2 5 4 -7 11
18 Laval 11 3 1 7 -5 10
19 Nimes 11 2 2 7 -7 8
20 Niort 11 2 2 7 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Caen
1–0 Y. Baldé
13′
2–0 G. Durbant
31′
Zakaria Naidji 🟨
33′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Jeannot
↦ B. Brahimi
46′
🔁 S. Essende
↦ G. Kyeremeh
46′
🔁 A. Teikeu
↦ I. Cissé
3–0 S. Sanna
J. Maggiotti
57′
61′
🟨 Romain Thomas
66′
🔁 D. Debohi
↦ J. Obiang
66′
🔁 A. Abdi
↦ R. Thomas
J. Adéoti 🔁
↦ Z. Naidji
81′
H. Mouali 🔁
↦ E. Seidou
85′
4–0 J. Adéoti
87′
88′
🟨 Ali Abdi
D. Sylla 🔁
↦ A. Gonçalves
89′
J. Mendes 🔁
↦ G. Durbant
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Laval

5-3-2
16 A. Sauvage G
39 A. Gonçalves D
12 Y. Baldé D
23 Yohan Tavares D
7 B. Goncalves D
25 E. Seidou D
6 S. Sanna M
4 J. Roye M
5 J. Maggiotti M
9 G. Durbant F
24 Z. Naidji F
Bench (7)
27 J. Adéoti
26 H. Mouali
29 D. Sylla
33 J. Mendes
1 M. Hautbois
15 D. Diaw
3 M. Baudry

Coach: O. Frapolli

Caen

3-5-2
1 A. Mandréa G
91 E. Ntim D
27 I. Cissé D
29 R. Thomas D
24 H. Vandermersch M
6 Q. Daubin M
28 D. Diani M
21 B. Brahimi M
23 J. Obiang M
17 G. Kyeremeh F
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
9 B. Jeannot
99 S. Essende
4 A. Teikeu
97 D. Debohi
2 A. Abdi
12 M. Hafid
16 Y. Clementia

Coach: S. Moulin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,01
U
3,24
B
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.