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Taça de Portugal

CF Os Belenenses

T S S T S

2–0

Full-time

Maritimo

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

CF Os Belenenses Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AD Marco 09	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+7	3
4	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Ovarense	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Atlético Malveira	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Castrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
73	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
74	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
75	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0
76	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
77	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Peniche	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Sacavenense	1	1	0	0	+7	3
3	Ovarense	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Caldas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Naval 1893	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Salgueiros	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Gouveia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Correlhã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Vila Real	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Oriental Lisboa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Comércio Indústria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Castrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Vila Caíz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Celoricense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Nazarenos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Charneca Caparica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	AR São Martinho	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Carregal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Academica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Vilaverdense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Cinfães	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Aparecida GO	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Valenciano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Fayal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
38	Urzelinense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
39	Lajense	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Atlético Malveira	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Vianense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	O Elvas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Brito	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Machico	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Monção	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Espinho	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Samora Correir	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Camacha	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Lagoa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Juventude Évora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Quarteirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Celeirós	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Sourense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Pontassolense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Leça	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Valpaços	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Viana Alentejo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Académico do Fundão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Varzim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	SC Celoricense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
38	Rabo Peixe	1	0	0	1	-7	0
39	Ferreira Zêzere	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.