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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Bickel
Magdeburg
S S T T T
0–2
Full-time
Schalke 04
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
2,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
8 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 17. · Schalke 04 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Kaiserslautern 6 4 0 2 +7 -0.2 12
2 Hannover 5 4 0 1 +3 +2.5 12
3 Karlsruhe 5 3 2 0 +4 +0.3 11
4 Bielefeld 6 3 1 2 +5 +1.7 10
5 Darmstadt 5 3 1 1 +3 +0.9 10
6 Elversberg 5 3 1 1 +2 -2.9 10
7 Schalke 04 5 3 0 2 +1 +0.8 9
8 Greuther Furth 6 3 0 3 -2 -0.2 9
9 Paderborn 5 2 2 1 +1 +2.8 8
10 Braunschweig 5 2 1 2 -1 -1.1 7
11 Preußen Münster 6 2 1 3 -3 -2.5 7
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 2 1 2 -4 -3.5 7
13 Holstein Kiel 5 2 0 3 -1 +0.1 6
14 Hertha 5 1 2 2 +0 -1.9 5
15 Dresden 5 1 1 3 -2 +1.8 4
16 Bochum 5 1 0 4 -4 +1.8 3
17 Magdeburg 5 1 0 4 -5 -0.5 3
18 Nurnberg 5 0 1 4 -4 +0.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Magdeburg Schalke 04
10′
K. Karaman 0–1
S. El-Faouzi
Half-time 0–1
T. Muller 🔁
↦ M. Geschwill
46′
D. Stalmach 🔁
↦ L. Hyrylainen
46′
54′
ℹ️ Ron Schallenberg
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Rayan Ghrieb 🟨
55′
56′
K. Karaman 0–2
65′
🟨 Nikola Katić
M. Breunig 🔁
↦ A. Holmstrom
70′
72′
🔁 J. Bachmann
↦ C. Gomis
79′
🔁 F. Porath
↦ A. Gantenbein
79′
🔁 B. Lasme
↦ M. Sylla
A. Onaiwu 🔁
↦ M. Mathisen
80′
80′
🔁 C. Antwi-Adjei
↦ R. Schallenberg
P. Hercher 🔁
↦ R. Ghrieb
88′
89′
🔁 M. Ayhan
↦ T. Becker
Dariusz Stalmach 🟨
101′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-4-3
1 D. Reimann G
16 M. Mathisen D
24 J. Hugonet D
28 M. Geschwill D
19 L. Musonda M
8 L. Ulrich M
38 L. Hyrylainen M
17 A. Nollenberger M
29 R. Ghrieb F
11 A. Holmstrom F
23 B. Atik F
Bench (9)
40 R. Kampa
27 P. Hercher
5 T. Muller
4 E. Dzogovic
10 N. Pesch
6 D. Stalmach
45 A. Onaiwu
9 M. Breunig
25 S. Gnaka

Coach: Markus Fiedler

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1
1 L. Karius G
5 T. Becker D
25 N. Katic D
4 H. Kurucay D
17 A. Gantenbein M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
6 R. Schallenberg M
33 V. Becker M
7 C. Gomis F
19 K. Karaman F
9 M. Sylla F
Bench (9)
28 J. Heekeren
2 F. Sanchez
41 H. Matriciani
43 M. Ayhan
14 J. Bachmann
16 M. Zalazar
18 C. Antwi-Adjei
27 F. Porath
11 B. Lasme

Coach: Miron Muslić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U
3,45
B ✓
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,20
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.