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Taça de Portugal
Sanjoanense
U T S U T
0–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sanjoanense Felgueiras 1932
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 CF Os Belenenses 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 AD Marco 09 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Peniche 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Sacavenense 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Ovarense 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Atlético Malveira 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Trofense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Caldas 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Moncarapachense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Naval 1893 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Salgueiros 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Gouveia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 O Elvas 2 1 0 1 +2 3
18 Vila Meã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Rebordosa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Correlhã 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Vila Real 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Brito 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Oriental Lisboa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Amarante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Machico 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Anadia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Mortágua 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Os Marialvas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Comércio Indústria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Monção 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Castrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 1º Dezembro 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Vila Caíz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Espinho 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Celoricense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Nazarenos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Marinhense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Samora Correir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Charneca Caparica 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Olímpico do Montijo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Camacha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Vizela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Tirsense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Lagoa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 AR São Martinho 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Castro Daire 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Carregal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Academica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Juventude Évora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Vilaverdense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Quarteirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Amora 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Florgrade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Cinfães 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Celeirós 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Sourense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Pontassolense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Aparecida GO 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Leça 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Valpaços 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Valenciano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Viana Alentejo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Académico do Fundão 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Varzim 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Fayal 1 0 0 1 -5 0
76 SC Celoricense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
77 Urzelinense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
78 Lajense 2 0 0 2 -7 0
79 Rabo Peixe 1 0 0 1 -7 0
80 Ferreira Zêzere 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.