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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Girona

T T T T U

0–4

Full-time

Levante

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Levante

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

3,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-2,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-2,3

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,50 xG 2,88

35% Possession 65%

7 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 3

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 20. · Levante 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+6	+4.8	12
2	Barcelona	4	3	1	0	+10	+5.5	10
3	Espanol	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.9	10
4	Betis	6	2	3	1	+2	+4.0	9
5	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+2	+4.6	9
6	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.7	9
7	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+5	+3.8	7
8	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.6	7
9	Elche	4	1	3	0	+2	-1.7	6
10	Osasuna	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.2	6
11	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	+1	+1.2	5
12	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	-3.5	4
13	Vallecano	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.2	4
14	Celta	5	0	4	1	-2	+1.6	4
15	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.6	4
16	Oviedo	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.6	3
17	Sociedad	5	0	2	3	-4	-3.1	2
18	Levante	4	0	1	3	-4	-1.7	1
19	Mallorca	4	0	1	3	-5	-3.3	1
20	Girona	4	0	1	3	-9	-6.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+3	+0.2	9
2	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+7	+3.7	6
3	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	+0.9	6
4	Betis	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.9	6
5	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.4	6
6	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.1	6
7	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.7	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
9	Elche	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.1	4
10	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
11	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+6	+3.8	3
12	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
13	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	+1.6	3
14	Oviedo	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.8	3
15	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
16	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.2	1
17	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
18	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
19	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.0	1
20	Girona	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.7	7
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.4	6
3	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.4	6
4	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+1	-2.7	3
5	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	Betis	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.1	3
7	Alaves	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
8	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.2	3
9	Elche	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.6	2
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.7	1
11	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.0	1
13	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.1	1
14	Sociedad	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-5	-4.0	1
16	Mallorca	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.3	0
17	Osasuna	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
19	Oviedo	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.8	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-7	-4.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.