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Premier League
Referee: M Dean
Wolves
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Man United
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,8
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 18. · Man United 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tottenham 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 West Ham 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Liverpool 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Chelsea 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Everton 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Man City 3 2 0 1 +9 6
7 Brighton 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Leicester 3 2 0 1 -1 6
9 Brentford 3 1 2 0 +2 5
10 Man United 2 1 1 0 +4 4
11 Aston Villa 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Watford 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Southampton 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Crystal Palace 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 Leeds 3 0 2 1 -4 2
16 Burnley 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Newcastle 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Wolves 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Norwich 3 0 0 3 -9 0
20 Arsenal 3 0 0 3 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Man United
44′
🟨 Bruno Fernandes
Half-time 0–0
53′
🔁 E. Cavani
↦ D. James
Daniel Podence 🔁
↦ Trincão
70′
72′
🔁 A. Martial
↦ J. Sancho
80′
⚽ M. Greenwood 0–1
R. Varane
Rúben Neves 🟨
81′
Romain Saïss 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Fred
M. Gibbs-White 🔁
↦ C. Coady
87′
Fábio Silva 🔁
↦ Adama Traoré
87′
90′
🔁 Diogo Dalot
↦ M. Greenwood
Morgan Gibbs-White 🟨
92′
93′
🟨 Diogo Dalot
93′
🟨 Paul Pogba
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-3
1 José Sá G
5 Fernando Marçal M
16 C. Coady D
22 Nélson Semedo M
23 M. Kilman D
28 João Moutinho M
27 R. Saïss D
8 Rúben Neves M
9 R. Jiménez F
37 Adama Traoré F
11 Trincão F
Bench (9)
10 Daniel Podence
18 M. Gibbs-White
17 Fábio Silva
32 L. Dendoncker
39 L. Cundle
2 K. Hoever
15 W. Boly
3 R. Aït Nouri
21 J. Ruddy

Coach: Bruno Lage

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
19 R. Varane D
5 H. Maguire D
23 L. Shaw D
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
6 P. Pogba M
17 Fred M
18 Bruno Fernandes M
21 D. James M
25 J. Sancho M
11 M. Greenwood F
Bench (9)
7 E. Cavani
9 A. Martial
20 Diogo Dalot
2 V. Lindelöf
31 N. Matić
22 T. Heaton
34 D. van de Beek
8 Mata
14 J. Lingard

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,91
U
3,48
B ✓
1,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

M Dean · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.