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LaLiga2
Referee: Eder Mallo
Eibar
S T S U T
1–0
Full-time
Castellon
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Castellon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Eibar Castellon
1–0 Jon Bautista ⚽
Jon Guruzeta
2′
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
15′
Jon Guruzeta 🟨
25′
42′
ℹ️ Douglas Aurélio
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 1–0
Ander Madariaga 🔁
↦ Jon Guruzeta
46′
Sergio Álvarez 🔁
↦ Álvaro Carrillo
51′
Martín Merquelanz 🟨
54′
61′
🔁 T. van den Belt
↦ Sergio Moyita
61′
🔁 Cala
↦ Óscar Gil
Antonio Puertas 🔁
↦ Martín Merquelanz
64′
Sergio Cubero 🔁
↦ José Corpas
64′
Slavy 🔁
↦ Jorge Pascual
77′
Peru Nolaskoain Esnal 🟨
78′
78′
🔁 Israel Suero
↦ Raúl Sánchez
81′
🟨 Alberto Jiménez
83′
🔁 Peré
↦ Alberto Jiménez
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
17 José Corpas D
4 Álvaro Carrillo D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
33 Hodei Arrillaga D
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
10 Matheus Pereira M
21 Jon Guruzeta M
11 Jorge Pascual M
18 Martín Merquelanz M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (10)
29 Ander Madariaga
6 Sergio Álvarez
20 Antonio Puertas
2 Sergio Cubero
27 Slavy
7 Y. Rahmani
3 Cristian Gutiérrez
35 Oscar Carrasco
5 Chema Rodríguez
1 Daniel Fuzato

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Castellon

3-5-2
1 G. Crettaz G
22 D. Chirino D
5 Alberto Jiménez D
33 J. Vertrouwd D
8 K. Mamah M
7 Sergio Moyita M
14 Óscar Gil M
20 M. Seuntjens M
10 Raúl Sánchez M
11 Douglas Aurélio F
9 De Miguel F
Bench (12)
6 T. van den Belt
21 Cala
4 Israel Suero
46 Peré
23 Josep Calavera
15 J. Willems
18 A. Lottin
19 Dani Villahermosa
26 Íker Punzano
16 B. Cipenga
30 B. Schwake
27 José Albert

Coach: D. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
🔒
U
3,58
🔒
B
4,45
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,05
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,74
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Eder Mallo · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.