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Superligaen
Aarhus
S T S T U
3–0
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
0,7
2,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Superligaen · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 54%
29%
79%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
29%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
29%
36%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
0,7
2,1
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aarhus 9. · Midtjylland 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 14 11 1 2 +19 34
2 FC Copenhagen 14 8 4 2 +19 28
3 Aalborg 15 7 4 4 +7 25
4 Randers FC 15 7 4 4 +2 25
5 Silkeborg 14 5 7 2 +10 22
6 Brondby 14 5 6 3 +2 21
7 Odense 14 3 7 4 +1 16
8 Viborg 15 3 7 5 -2 16
9 Aarhus 14 4 4 6 -7 16
10 Nordsjaelland 15 4 3 8 -9 15
11 Sonderjyske 15 2 3 10 -20 9
12 Vejle 15 2 2 11 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.