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Coppa Italia
Referee: A Prontera
Empoli
S U S U T
1–2
Full-time
Cittadella
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggiana 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Udinese 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 FeralpiSalo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Frosinone 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Catanzaro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
8 Virtus Entella 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Cesena 2 0 1 1 -2 1
10 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Vicenza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Pisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Foggia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Pescara 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Mar -21 Empoli – Cittadella 1–1 21. Nov -20 Cittadella – Empoli 2–2 8. Feb -20 Cittadella – Empoli 1–2 21. Sep -19 Empoli – Cittadella 1–0

Match report

Empoli Cittadella
1–0 F. Caputo ⚽
R. Piccoli
8′
34′
🟨 G. Carriero
45′
🟨 F. Giraudo
Half-time 1–0
A. Grassi 🟨
57′
G. Pezzella 🔁
↦ T. Ebuehi
58′
N. Haas 🔁
↦ R. Marin
58′
59′
🔁 T. Maistrello
↦ F. Pittarello
59′
🔁 E. Kornvig
↦ G. Carriero
61′
⚽ F. Amatucci 1–1
S. Branca
P. Stojanović 🔁
↦ L. Cacace
68′
S. Shpendi 🔁
↦ L. Henderson
68′
G. Pezzella 🟨
69′
E. Gyasi 🟨
77′
80′
⚽ A. Magrassi 1–2
T. Maistrello
E. Ekong 🔁
↦ E. Gyasi
82′
82′
🔁 V. Mastrantonio
↦ F. Amatucci
82′
🔁 C. Cassano
↦ A. Vita
92′
🔁 L. Pandolfi
↦ A. Magrassi
99′
🟨 E. Kornvig
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Empoli

25 E. Caprile
33 S. Luperto
24 T. Ebuehi
34 A. Ismajli
13 L. Cacace
5 A. Grassi
10 L. Henderson
18 R. Marin
9 F. Caputo
11 E. Gyasi
91 R. Piccoli
Bench (10)
3 G. Pezzella
32 N. Haas
30 P. Stojanović
7 S. Shpendi
17 E. Ekong
92 G. Crociata
40 L. Štubljar
14 G. Guarino
44 L. Ignacchiti
1 S. Perisan

Coach: P. Zanetti

Cittadella

36 E. Kastrati
98 F. Giraudo
24 L. Carissoni
15 D. Frare
23 S. Branca
16 A. Vita
26 N. Pavan
20 G. Carriero
8 F. Amatucci
9 A. Magrassi
11 F. Pittarello
Bench (11)
32 T. Maistrello
17 E. Kornvig
5 V. Mastrantonio
10 C. Cassano
14 L. Pandolfi
28 A. Rizza
27 A. Danzi
1 F. Veneran
2 A. Salvi
18 A. Tessiore
21 N. Saggionetto

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Prontera · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.