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Ligue 2

Referee: R Lissorgue

Bastia

S S U T U

3–0

Full-time

Valenciennes

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

0,0

5,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

15 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 13. · Valenciennes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Caen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Laval	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ajaccio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	St Etienne	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Valenciennes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Rodez	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Amiens	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Laval	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Ajaccio	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Paris FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Valenciennes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
11	Annecy	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Caen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bastia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.