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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Coventry

U S U T T

3–0

Full-time

Middlesbrough

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,95 xG 1,33

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Coventry 17. · Middlesbrough 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
9	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
10	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
11	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
12	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
13	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
14	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
15	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
16	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
17	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
18	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
19	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
20	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
21	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
22	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
23	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
24	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
3	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.4	1
8	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
9	Bristol City	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
11	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
12	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
2	Southampton	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
3	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
4	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
5	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
6	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
8	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
9	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
10	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
11	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
12	QPR	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.