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Serie B
Referee: F La Penna
Cagliari
T U S T T
1–1
Full-time
Reggina
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Reggina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Serie B · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 35%
50%
20%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,9
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
9 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 10. · Reggina 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 10 7 0 3 +9 21
2 Genoa 10 6 3 1 +6 21
3 Ternana 11 6 2 3 +4 20
4 Bari 11 5 4 2 +6 19
5 Reggina 10 6 0 4 +11 18
6 Brescia 10 5 2 3 -1 17
7 Sudtirol 10 5 2 3 -1 17
8 Parma 10 4 4 2 +4 16
9 Ascoli 10 4 3 3 +1 15
10 Cagliari 10 4 2 4 -1 14
11 Spal 10 3 4 3 +2 13
12 Modena 10 4 0 6 +1 12
13 Cittadella 10 2 5 3 -4 11
14 Cosenza 10 3 2 5 -7 11
15 Pisa 10 2 4 4 +0 10
16 Benevento 10 2 3 5 -3 9
17 Venezia 10 2 3 5 -4 9
18 Palermo 10 2 3 5 -6 9
19 Como 10 2 3 5 -9 9
20 Perugia 10 2 1 7 -8 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Reggina
2′
🟨 Hernani
1–0 G. Lapadula
V. Millico
3′
24′
R. Gagliolo 1–1
Hernani
Half-time 1–1
N. Viola 🔁
↦ A. Makoumbou
46′
Alessandro Di Pardo 🟨
47′
Nicolas Viola 🟨
54′
A. Deiola 🔁
↦ V. Millico
56′
62′
🟨 Riccardo Gagliolo
66′
🔁 E. Cicerelli
↦ R. Rivas
66′
🔁 T. Cionek
↦ R. Gagliolo
66′
🔁 G. Gori
↦ J. Ménez
77′
🔁 J. Obi
↦ G. Fabbian
F. Carboni 🔁
↦ A. Barreca
79′
83′
🟨 Joel Obi
A. Obert 🔁
↦ G. Altare
86′
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ M. Rog
86′
86′
🔁 F. Giraudo
↦ G. Di Chiara
Gianluca Lapadula 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-3
1 B. Radunović G
99 A. Di Pardo D
15 G. Altare D
24 E. Capradossi D
27 A. Barreca D
8 N. Nández M
29 A. Makoumbou M
6 M. Rog M
77 Zito Luvumbo F
9 G. Lapadula F
19 V. Millico F
Bench (12)
10 N. Viola
14 A. Deiola
16 F. Carboni
33 A. Obert
20 G. Pereiro
23 N. Lella
12 E. Lolic
25 F. Falco
18 S. Aresti
39 C. Kourfalidis
28 G. Zappa
4 A. Dossena

Coach: F. Liverani

Reggina

4-3-3
1 F. Ravaglia G
27 N. Pierozzi D
23 M. Camporese D
28 R. Gagliolo D
17 G. Di Chiara D
14 G. Fabbian M
37 Ž. Majer M
20 Hernani M
31 L. Canotto F
7 J. Ménez F
99 R. Rivas F
Bench (12)
11 E. Cicerelli
3 T. Cionek
9 G. Gori
10 J. Obi
98 F. Giraudo
21 F. Ricci
22 S. Colombi
8 L. Crisetig
6 G. Loiacono
12 T. Aglietti
13 D. Bouah
94 D. Liotti

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U ✓
3,19
B
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F La Penna · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.