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Premier League
Referee: R Madley
Brentford
U T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Wolves
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,0
This season — Premier League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 21%
25%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,3
1,9
Scored
1,5
0,4
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
12 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Brentford 11. · Wolves 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 12 9 2 1 +26 29
2 Arsenal 11 9 1 1 +14 28
3 Tottenham 12 7 2 3 +9 23
4 Newcastle 12 5 6 1 +10 21
5 Chelsea 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Man United 11 6 2 3 +0 20
7 Fulham 12 5 3 4 +0 18
8 Liverpool 11 4 4 3 +9 16
9 Brighton 11 4 3 4 +1 15
10 West Ham 12 4 2 6 -1 14
11 Brentford 12 3 5 4 -3 14
12 Everton 12 3 4 5 -1 13
13 Crystal Palace 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Bournemouth 12 3 4 5 -15 13
15 Aston Villa 12 3 3 6 -5 12
16 Southampton 12 3 3 6 -8 12
17 Leicester 13 3 2 8 -4 11
18 Leeds 11 2 3 6 -5 9
19 Wolves 12 2 3 7 -13 9
20 Nott'm Forest 12 2 3 7 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Wolves
1′
🟨 Nélson Semedo
30′
🟨 Daniel Podence
M. Damsgaard 🔁
↦ M. Jensen
37′
41′
🔁 João Moutinho
↦ Matheus Nunes
Half-time 1–0
1–0 B. Mee
B. Mbeumo
50′
52′
Rúben Neves 1–1
Nélson Semedo
K. Lewis-Potter 🔁
↦ Y. Wissa
75′
Bryan Mbeumo 🟨
80′
M. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ K. Ajer
83′
F. Onyeka 🔁
↦ J. Dasilva
83′
Sergi Canós 🔁
↦ B. Mbeumo
83′
83′
🔁 Gonçalo Guedes
↦ Adama Traoré
84′
🟨 Rúben Neves
Mikkel Damsgaard 🟨
86′
Ivan Toney 🟨
93′
95′
ℹ️ Diego Costa
VAR: Card upgrade
97′
🟥 Diego Costa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brentford

4-3-3
1 David Raya G
20 K. Ajer D
16 B. Mee D
5 E. Pinnock D
3 R. Henry D
8 M. Jensen M
27 V. Janelt M
10 J. Dasilva M
19 B. Mbeumo F
17 I. Toney F
11 Y. Wissa F
Bench (9)
24 M. Damsgaard
23 K. Lewis-Potter
30 M. Rasmussen
15 F. Onyeka
7 Sergi Canós
36 E. Yarmolyuk
34 M. Cox
14 S. Ghoddos
13 M. Jørgensen

Coach: T. Frank

Wolves

4-2-3-1
1 José Sá G
22 Nélson Semedo D
4 N. Collins D
23 M. Kilman D
64 Hugo Bueno D
6 B. Traoré M
8 Rúben Neves M
37 Adama Traoré M
27 Matheus Nunes M
10 Daniel Podence M
29 Diego Costa F
Bench (9)
28 João Moutinho
17 Gonçalo Guedes
59 J. Hodge
77 C. Campbell
13 M. Šarkić
3 R. Aït Nouri
14 Y. Mosquera
19 Jonny Castro
11 Hwang Hee-Chan

Coach: S. Davis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,20
U ✓
3,46
B
3,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Madley · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.