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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Stuttgart
T T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Augsburg
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,3
4,3
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
2,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
9%
36%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
55%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%
31 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 6
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 16. · Augsburg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Bayern Munich 11 6 4 1 +24 22
3 Freiburg 11 6 3 2 +3 21
4 Ein Frankfurt 11 6 2 3 +6 20
5 Dortmund 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Werder Bremen 12 5 3 4 +3 18
7 Mainz 11 5 3 3 +3 18
8 Hoffenheim 11 5 2 4 +5 17
9 RB Leipzig 11 4 4 3 +2 16
10 M'gladbach 11 4 4 3 +2 16
11 FC Koln 11 4 4 3 -3 16
12 Augsburg 11 4 2 5 -5 14
13 Hertha 12 2 5 5 -3 11
14 Wolfsburg 11 2 5 4 -6 11
15 Leverkusen 11 2 3 6 -7 9
16 Stuttgart 11 1 5 5 -7 8
17 Bochum 11 2 1 8 -17 7
18 Schalke 04 11 1 3 7 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Augsburg
4′
F. Niederlechner 0–1
F. Jensen
13′
🟨 Carlos Gruezo
1–1 S. Guirassy
B. Sosa
15′
25′
🔁 L. Petkov
↦ R. Vargas
Half-time 1–1
Tiago Tomás 🔁
↦ S. Katompa Mvumpa
66′
L. Egloff 🔁
↦ C. Führich
76′
78′
🟨 Elvis Rexhbeçaj
79′
🔁 F. Uduokhai
↦ M. Pedersen
2–1 W. Anton
Tiago Tomás
91′
93′
🔁 D. Caligiuri
↦ L. Petkov
93′
🔁 A. Maier
↦ C. Gruezo
Luca Pfeiffer 🟨
95′
A. Karazor 🔁
↦ L. Pfeiffer
95′
P. Stenzel 🔁
↦ W. Anton
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-4-2
1 F. Müller G
2 W. Anton D
21 H. Ito D
23 D. Zagadou D
24 B. Sosa D
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa M
3 W. Endo M
32 N. Ahamada M
22 C. Führich M
9 S. Guirassy F
20 L. Pfeiffer F
Bench (9)
10 Tiago Tomás
25 L. Egloff
16 A. Karazor
15 P. Stenzel
11 J. Perea
33 F. Bredlow
28 N. Nartey
39 T. Kastanaras
7 T. Coulibaly

Coach: M. Wimmer

Augsburg

4-4-2
40 T. Koubek G
24 F. Jensen D
23 M. Bauer D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
3 M. Pedersen D
16 R. Vargas M
8 C. Gruezo M
13 E. Rexhbeçaj M
9 E. Demirović M
7 F. Niederlechner F
11 M. Berisha F
Bench (9)
21 L. Petkov
19 F. Uduokhai
20 D. Caligiuri
10 A. Maier
32 R. Framberger
42 A. Zehnter
14 J. Baumgartlinger
26 F. Winther
25 D. Klein

Coach: E. Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,88
B
4,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.