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Coupe de France
Referee: M Leleu
1–4
Full-time
Auxerre
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Saint-Meziery Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,7
This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Saint-Meziery 63. · Auxerre 98.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rodez 2 2 0 0 +12 6
2 Quevilly Rouen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Laval 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Chateauroux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Orleans 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sochaux 2 2 0 0 +5 6
7 Pau FC 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Lyon Duchere 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Amiens 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Nimes 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Angers 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Feignies-Aulnoye 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Avoine OCC 2 1 1 0 +3 4
14 Bordeaux 2 1 1 0 +1 4
15 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 +1 4
16 Fleury 91 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Vitré 1 1 0 0 +6 3
18 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +5 3
19 Dijon 2 1 0 1 +4 3
20 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 Bergerac 1 1 0 0 +4 3
22 Romorantin 1 1 0 0 +4 3
23 Villers Houlgate CF 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 Chambly Thelle FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Métropole Troyenne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Castanet 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Caen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Revel 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 Ajaccio 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Sarreguemines 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 St Etienne 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Martigues 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Ergué-Gaberic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Dinan Léhon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Biesheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Hauts Lyonnais 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Pontivy GSI 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Furiani-Agliani 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Le Puy Foot 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Entente S St Gratien 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Dieppe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 Louhans-Cuiseaux 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Feurs 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Saint-Priest 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Rouen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Epinal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Grenoble 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 AG Caennaise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Cannes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 RC Calais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Mulhouse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Libourne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Paimpol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Racing Colombes 92 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Chambéry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 Sarre Union 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Union Cosnoise 1 1 0 0 +1 3
63 Saint-Meziery 1 1 0 0 +1 3
64 Blagnac 1 1 0 0 +1 3
65 Pontarlier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
66 Villenave 1 1 0 0 +1 3
67 Panazol 1 1 0 0 +1 3
68 Entente Itancourt-Neu. 2 1 0 1 +0 3
69 Thaon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
70 Plessis Robinson 92 2 1 0 1 +0 3
71 Angoulême 2 1 0 1 +0 3
72 Coulaines 2 1 0 1 -3 3
73 JS Douvres 2 1 0 1 -3 3
74 Stade Mayennais 2 1 0 1 -8 3
75 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
76 Stade Briochin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
77 Concarneau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
78 Saint-Malo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
79 Guingamp 1 0 1 0 +0 1
80 Villejuif 1 0 1 0 +0 1
81 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
82 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
83 Fabrègues 1 0 1 0 +0 1
84 Squadra Valincu ARR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
85 Nœux-les-Mines 1 0 1 0 +0 1
86 Étoile Maritime 1 0 1 0 +0 1
87 Trélissac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
88 Stade Plabennec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
89 Challans 1 0 1 0 +0 1
90 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
91 Canet Roussillon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
92 Saint-Omer 1 0 1 0 +0 1
93 Saint-Denis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
94 Moulien 1 0 1 0 +0 1
95 Limonest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
96 Domerat 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Le Pays du Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Auxerre 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Chaponnay-Marennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Hyères 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Forbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Blériot-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Thonon Évian 2 0 1 1 -1 1
105 Geispolsheim 2 0 1 1 -4 1
106 Croix Football IC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
107 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
108 Schweighouse s/Moder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
109 Red Star 1 0 0 1 -1 0
110 Jura Sud Foot 1 0 0 1 -1 0
111 Mâcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
112 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
113 Roche Saint-Genest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
114 Stade Pontivy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
115 Avranches 1 0 0 1 -1 0
116 Troyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
117 Villefranche 1 0 0 1 -1 0
118 Cholet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
119 Brissac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
120 Fos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
121 Drapeau Fougères 1 0 0 1 -1 0
122 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
123 Longueau 1 0 0 1 -1 0
124 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
125 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
126 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
127 Flers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
128 US Laon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
129 Choisy au Bac 1 0 0 1 -1 0
130 Volvic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 APM Metz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Chauray 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Vierzon FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Bondues 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 Colmar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Torcy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Isle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Morlaas Est-Bearn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Aunis Avenir 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Jarville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
145 Velay 1 0 0 1 -2 0
146 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
147 TA Rennes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
148 Roannais Foot 1 0 0 1 -2 0
149 Haguenau 1 0 0 1 -2 0
150 Villerupt Thil 1 0 0 1 -2 0
151 Neuville 1 0 0 1 -2 0
152 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -2 0
153 Plougastel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
154 Noisy-le-Sec 1 0 0 1 -2 0
155 Le Poiré sur Vie 1 0 0 1 -2 0
156 Seyssins 1 0 0 1 -2 0
157 Saint-Michel 91 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Camon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
159 Bastia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
160 Le Geldar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
161 Le Quesnoy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
162 Toulouse Métropole 1 0 0 1 -3 0
163 Poitiers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
164 Hombourg-Haut 1 0 0 1 -3 0
165 Loon-Plage 1 0 0 1 -3 0
166 Bourg-en-bresse 01 1 0 0 1 -3 0
167 Liffré 1 0 0 1 -3 0
168 St-Aubin Guérande 1 0 0 1 -3 0
169 Hienghène Sport 1 0 0 1 -4 0
170 Lavernose Lherm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
171 Montdidier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
172 Montlouis 1 0 0 1 -4 0
173 Auch 1 0 0 1 -4 0
174 FC Equeurdreville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
175 Rosador 1 0 0 1 -5 0
176 Provin 1 0 0 1 -5 0
177 Doullens 1 0 0 1 -6 0
178 Châteaugiron 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Saint-Meziery Auxerre
9′
K. Danois 0–1
22′
F. Ayé 0–2
1–2 A. Battais
40′
45′
F. Ayé 1–3
Half-time 1–3
M. Regragui 🔁
↦ L. Radet
54′
M. Sobral 🔁
↦ M. Barotte
54′
64′
🔁 A. N’Gatta
↦ G. Mensah
64′
🔁 L. Sinayoko
↦ E. Maddy
A. Baron 🔁
↦ P. Hausner
74′
75′
L. Sinayoko 1–4
78′
🔁 A. Dioussé
↦ N. Buayi-Kiala
78′
🔁 G. Perrin
↦ A. Onaiwu
78′
🔁 N. Glossoa
↦ K. Danois
G. Catherine 🔁
↦ Anthony Daval
82′
R. Guenifi 🔁
↦ A. Battais
82′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Saint-Meziery

R. Blanchet
D. Karl
A. Battais
Anthony Daval
P. Hausner
L. Naudot
L. Radet
D. Blanchet
Aurélien Daval
J. Dez
M. Barotte
Bench (7)
M. Regragui
M. Sobral
A. Baron
G. Catherine
R. Guenifi
A. Carroubi
A. Bonenfant

Coach: R. Bare

Auxerre

T. De Percin
C. Dagba
G. Mensah
S. Agouzoul
C. Akpa
K. Danois
N. Buayi-Kiala
A. Onaiwu
F. Ayé
E. Maddy
Ousmane Camara
Bench (7)
A. N’Gatta
L. Sinayoko
A. Dioussé
G. Perrin
N. Glossoa
D. Léon
Jubal

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.