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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
SK Rapid
U S T S S
0–1
Full-time
Salzburg
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 54%
38%
69%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
44%
31%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,9
2,1
Conceded
1,1
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 6. · Salzburg 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 16 11 3 2 +23 36
2 Sturm Graz 16 10 4 2 +15 34
3 LASK 16 8 5 3 +8 29
4 Hartberg 16 7 5 4 +5 26
5 A. Klagenfurt 16 6 7 3 +0 25
6 SK Rapid 16 6 6 4 +13 24
7 Wolfsberger AC 16 6 5 5 +1 23
8 Austria Vienna 16 5 5 6 +0 20
9 BW Linz 16 4 5 7 -10 17
10 Altach 16 4 4 8 -10 16
11 Tirol 16 2 2 12 -15 8
12 A. Lustenau 16 0 3 13 -30 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Sep -23 Salzburg – SK Rapid 2–0 7. May -23 Salzburg – SK Rapid 2–1 26. Apr -23 SK Rapid – Salzburg 1–1 5. Mar -23 SK Rapid – Salzburg 2–4 18. Sep -22 Salzburg – SK Rapid 1–1

Match report

SK Rapid Salzburg
19′
⚽ K. Piątkowski 0–1
L. Sučić
34′
🟨 Samson Baidoo
Half-time 0–1
Nikolas Sattlberger 🟨
46′
46′
🟨 Nicolás Capaldo
R. Kerschbaum 🔁
↦ N. Sattlberger
46′
49′
🔁 M. Bidstrup
↦ N. Capaldo
50′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ K. Konaté
T. Gale 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
58′
Guido Burgstaller ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
73′
75′
🔁 S. Koïta
↦ R. Šimić
75′
🔁 Fernando
↦ O. Gloukh
D. Kaygin 🔁
↦ M. Seidl
80′
82′
🔁 A. Ulmer
↦ D. Guindo
F. Mayulu 🔁
↦ M. Sollbauer
88′
94′
ℹ️ Fernando
VAR: Goal cancelled
97′
🟨 Alexander Schlager
99′
🟨 Sekou Koita
Lukas Grgić 🟨
101′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
6 N. Kasanwirjo D
43 L. Querfeld D
19 M. Sollbauer D
23 J. Auer D
34 N. Sattlberger M
8 L. Grgić M
10 N. Kühn M
18 M. Seidl M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
5 R. Kerschbaum
16 T. Gale
24 D. Kaygin
17 F. Mayulu
26 M. Moormann
13 T. Schick
25 P. Gartler

Coach: R. Klauß

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
4 K. Piątkowski D
6 S. Baidoo D
29 D. Guindo D
10 L. Sučić M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
7 N. Capaldo M
30 O. Gloukh M
19 K. Konaté F
23 R. Šimić F
Bench (7)
18 M. Bidstrup
45 N. Dorgeles
20 S. Koïta
11 Fernando
17 A. Ulmer
31 S. Pavlović
1 N. Mantl

Coach: G. Struber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.