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Coupe de France

Referee: M Apruzzese

Lyon Duchere

S T S

2–1

Full-time

Thonon Évian

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Duchere Thonon Évian

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/1 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,7

4,0

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

4,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lyon Duchere 24. · Thonon Évian 82. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rodez	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Quevilly Rouen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Laval	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Chateauroux	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Orleans	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Nimes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Angers	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Avoine OCC	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Fleury 91	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Vitré	1	1	0	0	+6	3
17	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+4	3
19	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Villers Houlgate CF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Chambly Thelle FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Métropole Troyenne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Castanet	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Caen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Revel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Ajaccio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	Sarreguemines	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Ergué-Gaberic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Dinan Léhon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Biesheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Pontivy GSI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Furiani-Agliani	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Entente S St Gratien	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Saint-Priest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Rouen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	AG Caennaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Mulhouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Libourne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	Paimpol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Racing Colombes 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Chambéry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	Sarre Union	1	1	0	0	+1	3
62	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
64	Blagnac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
65	Pontarlier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
66	Villenave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
67	Panazol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
68	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	2	1	0	1	+0	3
69	Thaon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
70	Plessis Robinson 92	2	1	0	1	+0	3
71	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
72	Coulaines	2	1	0	1	-3	3
73	JS Douvres	2	1	0	1	-3	3
74	Stade Mayennais	2	1	0	1	-8	3
75	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
76	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Fabrègues	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Squadra Valincu ARR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Nœux-les-Mines	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Stade Plabennec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Challans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Saint-Denis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Moulien	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Domerat	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Auxerre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Forbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Blériot-Plage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Geispolsheim	2	0	1	1	-4	1
106	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
108	Schweighouse s/Moder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
109	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
110	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
111	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
112	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Roche Saint-Genest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Stade Pontivy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Longueau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Flers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	US Laon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Choisy au Bac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Volvic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Vierzon FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
136	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
137	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
138	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
139	Colmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
140	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
141	Isle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
142	Morlaas Est-Bearn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
143	Aunis Avenir	1	0	0	1	-1	0
144	Jarville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	TA Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Roannais Foot	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Villerupt Thil	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Plougastel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Noisy-le-Sec	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Le Poiré sur Vie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
156	Seyssins	1	0	0	1	-2	0
157	Saint-Michel 91	1	0	0	1	-2	0
158	Camon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
159	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
160	Le Geldar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
161	Le Quesnoy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
162	Toulouse Métropole	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
167	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
168	St-Aubin Guérande	1	0	0	1	-3	0
169	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
170	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
171	Montdidier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
172	Montlouis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
173	Auch	1	0	0	1	-4	0
174	FC Equeurdreville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0
176	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
177	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0
178	Châteaugiron	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Villers Houlgate CF	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Lyon Duchere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Avoine OCC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Quevilly Rouen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Ergué-Gaberic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Dinan Léhon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Pontivy GSI	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Feurs	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Epinal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	AG Caennaise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Mulhouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Bassin d'Arcachon Sud	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Paimpol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Chambéry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Sarre Union	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Union Cosnoise	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Saint-Meziery	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Blagnac	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Villenave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Entente Itancourt-Neu.	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Plessis Robinson 92	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Coulaines	2	1	0	1	-3	3
31	JS Douvres	2	1	0	1	-3	3
32	Reims Sainte-Anne	2	0	2	0	+0	2
33	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Saint-Malo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Villejuif	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Thonon Évian	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Fabrègues	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Nœux-les-Mines	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Stade Plabennec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Canet Roussillon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Moulien	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Limonest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Le Pays du Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Chaponnay-Marennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Forbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Blériot-Plage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Schweighouse s/Moder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Mâcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Roche Saint-Genest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Stade Pontivy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Villefranche	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Fos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	France Aizenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	US Laon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Angoulême	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Thaon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Chauray	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Vierzon FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Bondues	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Colmar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Torcy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Morlaas Est-Bearn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Aunis Avenir	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Jarville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Velay	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Roannais Foot	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Haguenau	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Villerupt Thil	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Noisy-le-Sec	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Seyssins	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Saint-Michel 91	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Camon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Le Quesnoy	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Toulouse Métropole	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Poitiers	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Hombourg-Haut	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Loon-Plage	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Liffré	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	St-Aubin Guérande	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Hienghène Sport	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Geispolsheim	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Lavernose Lherm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Montdidier	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	Montlouis	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Auch	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Provin	1	0	0	1	-5	0
95	Doullens	1	0	0	1	-6	0
96	Châteaugiron	1	0	0	1	-6	0
97	Stade Mayennais	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rodez	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Laval	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Orleans	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Pau FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Amiens	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Nimes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Angers	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Feignies-Aulnoye	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Bordeaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Fleury 91	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Vitré	1	1	0	0	+6	3
13	Dijon	2	1	0	1	+4	3
14	Chateauroux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Quevilly Rouen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Bergerac	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Romorantin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Chambly Thelle FC	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Métropole Troyenne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Castanet	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Caen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Revel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Sarreguemines	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Biesheim	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Furiani-Agliani	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Entente S St Gratien	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Dieppe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Louhans-Cuiseaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Saint-Priest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Rouen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Libourne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Racing Colombes 92	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Pontarlier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Panazol	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Stade Mayennais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Concarneau	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Aubagne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Squadra Valincu ARR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Avoine OCC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Trélissac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Challans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Boulogne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Saint-Denis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Domerat	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Auxerre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Hyères	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Geispolsheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	ASPTT Dijon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Croix Football IC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Red Star	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Avranches	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Cholet	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Brissac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Drapeau Fougères	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Longueau	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Flers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Choisy au Bac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Volvic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	APM Metz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Pirae	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Isle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Saint-Renan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	TA Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Neuville	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Plougastel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Le Poiré sur Vie	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Le Geldar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	FC Equeurdreville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Rosador	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.