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Championship

Referee: D Bond

Sunderland

U S T T U

2–1

Full-time

West Brom

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 19/18 matches

Win Ø 46%

42%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,2

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,40 xG 0,64

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 7

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sunderland 9. · West Brom 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leicester	19	15	1	3	+22	+14.3	46
2	Ipswich	19	14	3	2	+16	+9.9	45
3	Leeds	18	10	5	3	+13	+15.5	35
4	Southampton	18	10	4	4	+3	+7.1	34
5	West Brom	18	9	5	4	+12	+3.2	32
6	Hull	19	8	6	5	+5	+5.1	30
7	Blackburn	19	9	1	9	+1	+2.1	28
8	Preston	19	8	4	7	-8	-7.7	28
9	Sunderland	19	8	3	8	+7	+11.9	27
10	Watford	19	7	6	6	+5	+2.6	27
11	Cardiff	19	8	3	8	+4	-3.8	27
12	Middlesbrough	19	8	3	8	+2	+9.8	27
13	Norwich	18	8	2	8	-1	-2.8	26
14	Coventry	20	6	7	7	+3	+7.4	25
15	Bristol City	19	7	4	8	-1	+1.3	25
16	Birmingham	20	6	5	9	-6	-2.9	23
17	Plymouth	19	6	4	9	+2	-8.8	22
18	Swansea	19	5	6	8	-1	-5.6	21
19	Millwall	19	5	6	8	-5	-8.2	21
20	Stoke	19	6	3	10	-8	-4.5	21
21	Huddersfield	19	4	8	7	-13	-10.7	20
22	QPR	19	4	4	11	-13	-8.7	16
23	Rotherham	19	2	7	10	-20	-21.3	13
24	Sheffield Weds	19	2	4	13	-19	-5.2	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ipswich	10	9	0	1	+13	+10.3	27
2	Leeds	10	7	3	0	+12	+12.8	24
3	Leicester	9	7	0	2	+9	+6.9	21
4	West Brom	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.2	20
5	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	+10	-3.9	19
6	Birmingham	10	5	4	1	+6	+1.1	19
7	Watford	10	5	3	2	+11	+8.6	18
8	Coventry	10	4	5	1	+5	+5.7	17
9	Southampton	9	5	2	2	+4	+6.2	17
10	Preston	10	5	2	3	-2	-3.4	17
11	Hull	10	4	4	2	+5	+6.4	16
12	Cardiff	9	5	1	3	+5	-0.6	16
13	Middlesbrough	9	5	1	3	+4	+7.7	16
14	Sunderland	9	5	0	4	+5	+5.8	15
15	Norwich	8	5	0	3	+2	+1.9	15
16	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.3	14
17	Stoke	9	4	1	4	-2	-2.2	13
18	Blackburn	9	4	0	5	-3	+1.5	12
19	Rotherham	9	2	5	2	+1	-5.8	11
20	Swansea	10	2	5	3	+0	-0.1	11
21	Huddersfield	9	2	4	3	-6	-3.9	10
22	Sheffield Weds	10	2	3	5	-6	-0.4	9
23	Millwall	10	2	2	6	-8	-3.6	8
24	QPR	8	1	2	5	-8	-2.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leicester	10	8	1	1	+13	+7.4	25
2	Ipswich	9	5	3	1	+3	-0.4	18
3	Southampton	9	5	2	2	-1	+0.9	17
4	Blackburn	10	5	1	4	+4	+0.6	16
5	Hull	9	4	2	3	+0	-1.3	14
6	Millwall	9	3	4	2	+3	-4.6	13
7	West Brom	8	3	3	2	+4	-1.0	12
8	Sunderland	10	3	3	4	+2	+6.1	12
9	Leeds	8	3	2	3	+1	+2.7	11
10	Cardiff	10	3	2	5	-1	-3.2	11
11	Middlesbrough	10	3	2	5	-2	+2.1	11
12	Bristol City	9	3	2	4	-2	-1.0	11
13	Norwich	10	3	2	5	-3	-4.7	11
14	QPR	11	3	2	6	-5	-6.2	11
15	Preston	9	3	2	4	-6	-4.4	11
16	Swansea	9	3	1	5	-1	-5.5	10
17	Huddersfield	10	2	4	4	-7	-6.8	10
18	Watford	9	2	3	4	-6	-6.0	9
19	Coventry	10	2	2	6	-2	+1.7	8
20	Stoke	10	2	2	6	-6	-2.3	8
21	Birmingham	10	1	1	8	-12	-4.0	4
22	Plymouth	9	0	3	6	-8	-4.9	3
23	Rotherham	10	0	2	8	-21	-15.5	2
24	Sheffield Weds	9	0	1	8	-13	-4.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.