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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Mallorca
T T U U S
1–0
Full-time
Sevilla
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 11%
7%
14%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
27%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
47%
79%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,48 xG 0,63
34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 12
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 17. · Sevilla 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 16 12 3 1 +24 +12.8 39
2 Girona 15 12 2 1 +16 +9.0 38
3 Barcelona 15 10 4 1 +14 +16.1 34
4 Ath Madrid 14 10 1 3 +17 +11.3 31
5 Sociedad 16 8 5 3 +11 +1.9 29
6 Ath Bilbao 15 8 4 3 +12 +9.5 28
7 Betis 16 6 8 2 +2 -0.1 26
8 Las Palmas 16 7 3 6 +1 -5.2 24
9 Getafe 16 5 7 4 -2 -4.3 22
10 Valencia 16 5 4 7 -4 +0.2 19
11 Vallecano 15 4 7 4 -6 -5.8 19
12 Alaves 16 4 4 8 -6 +2.2 16
13 Villarreal 16 4 4 8 -7 -5.0 16
14 Osasuna 15 4 3 8 -8 -6.8 15
15 Sevilla 14 2 7 5 +0 -4.7 13
16 Cadiz 15 2 6 7 -10 -10.7 12
17 Mallorca 15 1 8 6 -7 -3.7 11
18 Celta 15 1 6 8 -10 -0.9 9
19 Granada 15 1 4 10 -16 -12.3 7
20 Almeria 15 0 4 11 -21 -3.5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Sevilla
1–0 Cyle Larin
Samuel Costa
11′
33′
🔁 Adnan Januzaj
↦ Dodi Lukebakio
Half-time 1–0
47′
🟨 Youssef En-Nesyri
Abdón Prats 🔁
↦ Cyle Larin
64′
65′
ℹ️ Adrià Pedrosa
VAR: Goal cancelled
Jaume Costa 🟨
68′
Toni Lato 🔁
↦ Jaume Costa
69′
Giovanni González 🔁
↦ Martin Valjent
69′
74′
🟨 Boubakary Soumaré
Manu Morlanes 🔁
↦ Sergi Darder
81′
Antonio Sánchez 🔁
↦ Dani Rodríguez
81′
83′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ Djibril Sow
88′
🔁 Kike Salas
↦ Adrià Pedrosa
Abdón Prats 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Mallorca

3-5-1-1
1 Predrag Rajković G
24 Martin Valjent D
21 Antonio Raíllo D
2 Matija Nastasić D
15 Pablo Maffeo M
14 Dani Rodríguez M
5 Omar Mascarell M
12 Samuel Costa M
11 Jaume Costa M
10 Sergi Darder F
17 Cyle Larin F
Bench (12)
9 Abdón Prats
3 Toni Lato
20 Giovanni González
8 Manu Morlanes
18 Antonio Sánchez
13 Dominik Greif
25 Iván Cuéllar
4 Siebe Van Der Heyden
6 José Copete
33 Daniel Luna
19 Javi Llabrés
23 Amath Ndiaye

Coach: J. Aguirre

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Marko Dmitrović G
26 Juanlu Sánchez D
6 Nemanja Gudelj D
4 Sergio Ramos D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
18 Djibril Sow M
24 Boubakary Soumaré M
10 Ivan Rakitić M
5 Lucas Ocampos F
15 Youssef En-Nesyri F
11 Dodi Lukebakio F
Bench (11)
25 Adnan Januzaj
21 Óliver Torres
27 Kike Salas
32 Rafael Romero
31 Alberto Flores
29 Darío Benavides
23 Marcão
2 Federico Gattoni
28 Manu Bueno
8 Joan Jordán
9 Rafa Mir

Coach: D. Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,68
U
3,16
B
2,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.