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Taça de Portugal
CF Os Belenenses
3–1
Full-time
Torreense

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Serpa 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Vianense 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Montalegre 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Sanjoanense 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Varzim 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Oliveira Hospital 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Benfica Castelo Branco 2 1 0 1 +7 3
8 Pêro Pinheiro 1 1 0 0 +6 3
9 São João Ver 1 1 0 0 +6 3
10 Beira-Mar 1 1 0 0 +6 3
11 Fafe 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 UD da Serra 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Merelinense 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Valadares Gaia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Olhanense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Dumiense 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Juventude Évora 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Moreirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Alverca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Lagos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Canelas 2010 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Fontinhas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Ferreiras 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Praiense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Bragança 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Resende 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Oriental Dragon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Gondomar 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Sertanense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Oriental Lisboa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Camacha 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Tirsense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Paredes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Farense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Os Marialvas 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Arronches e Benfica 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 União de Leiria 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Lajense 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Joane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 Pombal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 União de Tomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Estrela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Lusitânia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Freamunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 São Roque (Açores) 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Monção 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Leça 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 1º Dezembro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Vila Meã 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Rebordosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Alcains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Madalena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Fazendense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Amarante 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Marinhense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Santa Eulália 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Alpendorada 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Feirense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Águeda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Atlético Arcos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Vila Cortez 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 UD Rio Maior 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Régua 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Mosteirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Culatrense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Salgueiros 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Brito 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Moncarapachense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Castrense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Pedrógão São Pedro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Maria da Fonte 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Vinhais 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Ribeira Brava 1 0 0 1 -5 0
88 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1 0 0 1 -5 0
90 AD Portomosense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
91 Mortágua 1 0 0 1 -6 0
92 Sporting Mêda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 Águias do Moradal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
94 1º Maio Funchal 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

CF Os Belenenses Torreense
2′
⚽ 0–1
1–1 Cle ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 X. Fernandes ⚽
77′
3–1 Cle ⚽
89′
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
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U1,5
–
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O2,5 ✓
–
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U2,5
–
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O3,5 ✓
–
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U3,5
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.