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Premier League

Referee: A Madley

Liverpool

S S U T S

3–3

Full-time

Brighton

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Brighton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,3

This season — Premier League · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 8. · Brighton 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Man City	7	5	2	0	+17	17
3	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	+9	17
4	Brighton	6	4	1	1	+6	13
5	Man United	6	4	0	2	+0	12
6	Fulham	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	-1	10
8	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	+9	9
9	Brentford	7	2	3	2	+3	9
10	Newcastle	7	1	5	1	+1	8
11	Leeds	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Bournemouth	7	2	2	3	-13	8
13	Everton	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	Southampton	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Aston Villa	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Crystal Palace	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	Wolves	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	West Ham	7	1	1	5	-6	4
19	Nott'm Forest	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Leicester	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Man City	3	3	0	0	+12	9
4	Liverpool	3	2	1	0	+10	7
5	Brentford	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Leeds	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Aston Villa	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Newcastle	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	Man United	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Everton	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Wolves	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Southampton	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Bournemouth	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Nott'm Forest	4	1	0	3	-3	3
19	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	West Ham	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Man City	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Man United	3	2	0	1	-2	6
5	Tottenham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Fulham	4	1	1	2	-1	4
7	Bournemouth	4	1	1	2	-12	4
8	West Ham	4	1	0	3	-2	3
9	Chelsea	3	1	0	2	-3	3
10	Southampton	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Brentford	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Liverpool	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Everton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Crystal Palace	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Leeds	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-8	1
19	Aston Villa	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Leicester	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.