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Eredivisie
Referee: P van Boekel
Cambuur
S T T T T
3–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,7
Scored
0,8
3,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
14%
86%
Points per game
0,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
43%
86%
Both score Ø 58%
29%
86%
Average goals
2,7
5,4
Scored
0,7
4,0
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+2,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cambuur 17. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 6 0 1 +18 18
2 Ajax 7 6 0 1 +17 18
3 AZ Alkmaar 7 5 2 0 +8 17
4 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 +11 16
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 +8 13
6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +1 10
7 Waalwijk 7 2 3 2 +5 9
8 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Utrecht 7 2 3 2 -1 9
10 Excelsior 7 3 0 4 -8 9
11 Nijmegen 7 1 5 1 +2 8
12 Groningen 7 2 2 3 -5 8
13 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 0 5 -5 6
14 Vitesse 7 1 2 4 -9 5
15 Volendam 7 1 2 4 -13 5
16 For Sittard 7 1 1 5 -8 4
17 Cambuur 7 1 1 5 -9 4
18 FC Emmen 7 1 1 5 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cambuur PSV Eindhoven
Half-time 1–0
1–0 S. van der Water
T. Boere
54′
60′
🔁 Sávio
↦ I. Saibari
60′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ X. Simons
63′
🟨 Philipp Max
68′
🔁 F. Oppegård
↦ P. Max
69′
🔁 É. Gutiérrez
↦ J. Veerman
C. Mac-Intosch 🔁
↦ M. Tol
70′
D. Sambissa 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
71′
F. Mambimbi 🔁
↦ R. Balk
80′
80′
🔁 R. Ledezma
↦ I. Sangaré
2–0 M. Paulissen
F. Mambimbi
84′
M. Breij 🔁
↦ M. Paulissen
88′
3–0 S. van Wermeskerken
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Cambuur

4-1-4-1
1 João Virgínia G
5 D. Schmidt D
15 M. Tol D
4 L. Bergsma D
24 S. van Wermeskerken D
21 D. van Kaam M
11 S. van der Water M
8 J. Jacobs M
10 M. Paulissen M
30 R. Balk M
9 T. Boere F
Bench (10)
3 C. Mac-Intosch
18 D. Sambissa
7 F. Mambimbi
14 M. Breij
12 R. Ruiter
31 B. Minnema
33 F. Smand
22 J. van der Meer
39 M. Smit
40 D. Timan

Coach: H. de Jong

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
22 J. Branthwaite D
4 A. Obispo D
31 P. Max D
20 G. Til M
6 I. Sangaré M
23 J. Veerman M
28 I. Saibari F
7 X. Simons F
11 C. Gakpo F
Bench (12)
33 Sávio
32 Y. Vertessen
35 F. Oppegård
15 É. Gutiérrez
37 R. Ledezma
2 K. Hoever
27 J. Bakayoko
21 A. El Ghazi
16 J. Drommel
24 B. Waterman
5 André Ramalho
29 P. Mwene

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
8,89
U
6,04
B
1,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,36
U2,5
3,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P van Boekel · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.