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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Wolfsburg
U T T S T
3–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 7%
14%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
29%
71%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 17. · Stuttgart 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 7 5 2 0 +11 17
2 Bayern Munich 8 4 3 1 +17 15
3 Dortmund 7 5 0 2 +2 15
4 Freiburg 7 4 2 1 +5 14
5 Hoffenheim 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 M'gladbach 7 3 3 1 +5 12
7 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 2 2 +1 11
8 Mainz 7 3 2 2 -3 11
9 FC Koln 7 2 4 1 +3 10
10 Werder Bremen 7 2 3 2 +1 9
11 Augsburg 7 3 0 4 -5 9
12 RB Leipzig 7 2 2 3 -3 8
13 Hertha 7 1 3 3 -2 6
14 Schalke 04 7 1 3 3 -6 6
15 Stuttgart 7 0 5 2 -3 5
16 Leverkusen 8 1 2 5 -7 5
17 Wolfsburg 7 1 2 4 -7 5
18 Bochum 7 0 1 6 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Stuttgart
22′
S. Guirassy 0–1
H. Ito
1–1 Omar Marmoush
J. Kamiński
23′
2–1 M. Arnold
Paulo Otávio
38′
Patrick Wimmer 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–2
46′
K. Mavropanos 2–2
P. Stenzel
47′
🟨 Serhou Guirassy
48′
🟨 Waldemar Anton
Ridle Baku 🟨
53′
68′
🔁 E. Millot
↦ W. Endo
70′
🟨 Hiroki Ito
Maximilian Arnold 🟨
71′
K. Paredes 🔁
↦ J. Kamiński
76′
76′
🔁 D. Zagadou
↦ P. Stenzel
77′
🔁 Tiago Tomás
↦ C. Führich
77′
🔁 L. Pfeiffer
↦ S. Guirassy
79′
🟨 Atakan Karazor
84′
🟨 Enzo Millot
S. Bornauw 🔁
↦ M. Lacroix
85′
F. Nmecha 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
85′
87′
🔁 L. Egloff
↦ N. Ahamada
3–2 Y. Gerhardt
M. Svanberg
91′
B. Franjić 🔁
↦ Omar Marmoush
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

4-1-4-1
1 K. Casteels G
20 R. Baku D
4 M. Lacroix D
5 M. van de Ven D
6 Paulo Otávio D
27 M. Arnold M
39 P. Wimmer M
32 M. Svanberg M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
16 J. Kamiński M
33 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
40 K. Paredes
3 S. Bornauw
22 F. Nmecha
38 B. Franjić
29 J. Guilavogui
17 M. Philipp
12 P. Pervan
2 K. Fischer
7 L. Waldschmidt

Coach: N. Kovač

Stuttgart

4-3-3
1 F. Müller G
15 P. Stenzel D
5 K. Mavropanos D
2 W. Anton D
21 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
16 A. Karazor M
32 N. Ahamada M
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa F
9 S. Guirassy F
22 C. Führich F
Bench (9)
8 E. Millot
23 D. Zagadou
10 Tiago Tomás
20 L. Pfeiffer
25 L. Egloff
28 N. Nartey
7 T. Coulibaly
11 J. Perea
33 F. Bredlow

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,47
B
2,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.