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Taça de Portugal
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oriental Lisboa Torreense
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
1,3
4,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rebordosa 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Alverca 1 1 0 0 +13 3
3 Lusitânia Lourosa 1 1 0 0 +10 3
4 Amora 1 1 0 0 +8 3
5 Benfica Castelo Branco 1 1 0 0 +7 3
6 União Santarém 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Oliveira Hospital 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Vilaverdense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Valadares Gaia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Academica 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Juventude Évora 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Nacional 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Sandinenses 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Maritimo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Florgrade 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Vianense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Salgueiros 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Sintrense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Lusitano Évora 1911 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Quarteirense SAD 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Montalegre 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Fontinhas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Ribeirão 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Pombal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Alqueidão da Serra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Felgueiras 1932 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 CD Olivais e Moscavide 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 FC Serpa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Leixoes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Castrense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Pevidem 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 AVS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 União Micaelense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 O Elvas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Tocha 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Louletano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Fabril Barreiro 2 1 0 1 -1 3
38 Anadia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Sanjoanense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Os Limianos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Varzim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 União Lamas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Paredes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Pêro Pinheiro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Caldas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Peniche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Marinhense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Gondomar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Portosantense 2 0 1 1 -2 1
50 CD Torres Novas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Lobão 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Fafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Real 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Padernense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 São João Ver 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Penedo Gordo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Trofense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Guadalupe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Imortal Albufeira 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Alcochetense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Lanheses 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Rebordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Beira-Mar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Aliados Lordelo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Foz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Lusitano FCV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Operário 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Comércio Indústria 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Atlético Reguengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Mondinense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Flamengos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Vila Real 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Os Vilanovenses 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 União de Coimbra 1 0 0 1 -3 0
75 Portel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
76 Torre de Moncorvo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 AD Fornos Algodres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
78 Ponte 1 0 0 1 -5 0
79 Proença-a-Nova 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Amiense 1 0 0 1 -7 0
81 Vitória do Pico 1 0 0 1 -8 0
82 Régua 1 0 0 1 -10 0
83 Gavionenses 1 0 0 1 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oriental Lisboa Torreense
Half-time 0–1
66′
F. S. Welthon 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.